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PHASE 1
Fed maintains rate
85%
▲ 1
Starts
4%
▼ 1
Exactly 0 cuts
95%
▼ 1
Hike 25bps
16%
▼ 1
Cuts
5%
0
Exactly 1 cut
4%
▲ 1
Cut 25bps
1%
0
Exactly 2 cuts
1%
▼ 1
Hike >25bps
1%
0
Yes
20%
▲ 1
Exactly 3 cuts
0%
0
In 2026
3%
0
Fed maintains rate
85%
▲ 1
Starts
4%
▼ 1
Exactly 0 cuts
95%
▼ 1
Hike 25bps
16%
▼ 1
Cuts
5%
0
Exactly 1 cut
4%
▲ 1
Cut 25bps
1%
0
Exactly 2 cuts
1%
▼ 1
Hike >25bps
1%
0
Yes
20%
▲ 1
Exactly 3 cuts
0%
0
In 2026
3%
0
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🔥 Trending
🚀 Space
🏦 Fed & Economy
Fed & Economy · KXFEDDECISION
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Kalshi 85¢ · Updated 3 min ago
85%
Hike 25bps
Kalshi 16¢ · Updated 3 min ago
16%
Cut >25bps
Kalshi 1¢ · Updated 3 min ago
1%
Hike >25bps
Kalshi 1¢ · Updated 3 min ago
1%
Vol $4.0M
94%
58%
22%
Sep 12
Oct 7
Oct 11
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will there be a recession in 2026?
4% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 4¢
$3.7M vol
Bureau of Economic Analysis
National Bureau of Economic Research
Federal Reserve
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?
95% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 95¢
$2.7M vol
Fed
cut
rates
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
16% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 16¢
$2.7M vol
Federal
Reserve
Hike
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?
5% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 5¢
$1.5M vol
Federal Reserve
FOMC
Jerome Powell
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will the Fed cut rates 1 times?
4% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 4¢
$1.2M vol
Fed
cut
rates
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
1% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 1¢
$997.5K vol
Federal
Reserve
Cut
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
1% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 1¢
$979.2K vol
Fed
cut
rates
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
1% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 1¢
$904.3K vol
Federal
Reserve
Hike
🏦 Fed & Economy
Will there be a recession in 2027?
20% Yes
Updated 3 min ago
Kalshi 20¢
$664.3K vol
there
recession
two
Trending markets
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-H0 · $4.0M
Will there be a recession in 2026?
KXRECSSNBER-26 · $3.7M
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0 · $2.7M
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-H25 · $2.7M
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?
KXRATECUT-26DEC31 · $1.5M
Trending News
Trump establishes committee to investigate Federal Reserve's Lisa Cook in latest effort to fire her - PBS
PBS
Federal Reserve Board releases results of the 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed insights into the economic condition of American families
Federal Reserve
Fed minutes: Another rate hike likely this year to combat inflation - | Florida Realtors
| Florida Realtors
Federal Reserve Board announces enforcement action against American Express Company to address, among other things, the firm’s failure to sufficiently detect and report certain suspicious activity related to money laundering
Federal Reserve
Inflation on many everyday items was entirely due to tariffs, NY Fed says
CNBC Economy
Hot Themes
Theme
Markets
Volume
Avg move
🚀 Space
129
$2.2M
-0.0¢
🏦 Fed & Economy
1572
$37.9M
-0.1¢