| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 22% | ▲ 1 | Yes 22¢ No 78¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 14% | 0 | Yes 14¢ No 86¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 5% | ▲ 1 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 2% | ▲ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| Before October | 50% | ▲ 49 | Yes 50¢ No 50¢ |
Loading…
No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.