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Before Jan 1, 2027 5% β–² 1Ken Paxton 37% β–Ό 2James Talarico 64% β–² 2Los Angeles D 27% β–Ό 16Milwaukee 39% β–² 13Republican Party 39% 0Democratic Party 62% 0Cleveland 10% 0Tampa Bay 24% β–² 2Susan Collins 43% β–² 2Troy Jackson 58% 0Fed maintains rate 82% β–Ό 2Before Jan 1, 2027 5% β–² 1Ken Paxton 37% β–Ό 2James Talarico 64% β–² 2Los Angeles D 27% β–Ό 16Milwaukee 39% β–² 13Republican Party 39% 0Democratic Party 62% 0Cleveland 10% 0Tampa Bay 24% β–² 2Susan Collins 43% β–² 2Troy Jackson 58% 0Fed maintains rate 82% β–Ό 2
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US House Β· KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?

Democrats, 8 to 10%
Kalshi 27Β’ Β· Updated 3 hours ago
27%
Democrats, 10 to 12%
Kalshi 20Β’ Β· Updated 3 hours ago
20%
Democrats, 6 to 8%
Kalshi 20Β’ Β· Updated 3 hours ago
20%
Democrats, 4 to 6%
Kalshi 11Β’ Β· Updated 3 hours ago
11%
Vol $831.6K
11%7%2%
Sep 13Oct 8Oct 12
🏠 US House

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?

4% YesUpdated 3 hours ago
Kalshi 4Β’$318.8K vol
🏠 US House

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 2 and 4%?

6% YesUpdated 3 hours ago
Kalshi 6Β’$244.4K vol
🏠 US House

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14?

67% YesUpdated 1 hour ago
Kalshi 67Β’$208.3K vol
Kathy CastorFL-14Florida's 14th congressional district
🏠 US House

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%?

20% YesUpdated 3 hours ago
Kalshi 20Β’$177.6K vol
🏠 US House

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 16 and 100%?

2% YesUpdated 3 hours ago
Kalshi 2Β’$176.0K vol
Democraticmarginvictory
🏠 US House

Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?

14% YesUpdated 7 hours ago
Kalshi 14Β’$168.8K vol
🏠 US House

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?

27% YesUpdated 3 hours ago
Kalshi 27Β’$166.7K vol
🏠 US House

Will Republican win the House race for TX-23?

66% YesUpdated 6 hours ago
Kalshi 66Β’$150.3K vol
🏠 US House

Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 12 and 14%?

9% YesUpdated 3 hours ago
Kalshi 9Β’$149.4K vol

Trending markets

Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote?
KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B50 Β· $831.6K
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?
KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B1 Β· $318.8K
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 2 and 4%?
KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B3 Β· $244.4K
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14?
KXHOUSERACE-FL14-26-D Β· $208.3K
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%?
KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B11 Β· $177.6K

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