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Space · KXHLS · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will SpaceX test launch its Human Launch System before 2027?

Showing: Before 2027 · Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027 · 3% chance▼ 3Updated just now
Feeds just now · AI summary 2h ago

Forecast

10%5%0%Sep 12Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$18.5K
24h volume$0
Open interest$5.6K
Days left82
Bid / ask2¢ / 4¢
Last6¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceX scrubbed SDA satellite launch attempt (Spaceflight Now)
  • Starship returned to Texas after ocean tests for pad turnaround (Corpus Christi Caller-Times)
  • Prepping first Starship flight from Florida pad 39A (Space)
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 2d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 7d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="

SpaceX · 13d
Starship Flight 14
ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos · 13d
SpaceX Starship splashes down after successful 1st orbital flight test
NASA (.gov) · Jul 31
NASA, SpaceX Advance Wind Tunnel Tests for Starship Rocket

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-AFBVV95cUxPNjJQOWp2VVhScWFpUXU0LUtvc3VlZEVaTHBxZGRkbzF5eGlQVGpsRDFnVV9HYzdYUEZSTjZPNG5MYzdYU3lkYWtqaXQ1OGNYM2FJc3JQeWNaMzljZTNuaVZGZEExVk1zLVBXcGo3VC1iSkt3MERBUEZwMXM1M25fY2VlN2VuVHlaMHBFa0RVMnk5Mm1IRlZFaXFlbm1ZeE40eXJFcWJQcThsOUY5ZXdIZTNzelY3elVvRHpFdks5TWxNUjV4YVlxOW1BbUhYZXJtLXVPbk0zVTVGOXBQSkhOWV93bEdHaEhGNkdXQTVHVk9xdHlqeDNXbA?oc=5" target="_

BASENOR - Tesla Accessories · Jul 6
SpaceX Starship HLS: What the Road to the Moon Looks Like Now

BASENOR - Tesla Ac

Space · May 5
NASA wants to land astronauts on the moon in 2028. Will SpaceX's Starship or Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander be ready in time?

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi_gFBVV95cUxOYjg5Nm1OUGRVZ1NFQ3BTaV9aRG9RblNCVlVSQUI3c3cxNXU4d1Z3ZHNvOS1QNkMyaHBkOTZad0syeV80R2xHLW9Dc1V0aGI4Uy1nb3R5bUZDR3E0dzhEbE9IVlJuOGZ3YzU3MGc1dHZidDVtQ3VyRy1PU1hMZWljR3c1SDZEckVWZWFSNjJRYWdJNWIxMDNnSnhkVHZDNFA3cktzcU8zSFI3WnVQbjE4eWZuZ1F4NDlwU0N3WjhZZy1FN0dyNzQwVFk1RjZRUWZXVE1abHdlUGdIeU5VYWhHc1pOT25iU2dsaFd5OXBaSlpoWmVmdVZXT0tqTlVhQQ?oc=5" t

X Feed

NA
@NASASpaceflight · 18h

SpaceX Ship 40 Homecoming Transport https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1AJEmvLzRAoJL

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SP
@SpaceX · 1d

Falcon 9 launches the @SemperCitiusSDA's fourth Tranche 1 data transport mission to low-Earth orbit

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 1d

LAUNCH! Falcon 9 B1103-6 launches the Tranche 1 Transport Layer A Mission from SLC-4E, Vandenberg.

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SP
@SpaceX · 1d

Falcon 9’s first stage lands on LZ-4

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SP
@SpaceX · 1d

Watch Falcon 9 launch the @SemperCitiusSDA’s fourth Tranche 1 data transport mission to low-Earth orbit https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1jGXgBoBYkRKZ

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SC
@SciGuySpace · 3d

Voyager has a launch contract with SpaceX for Starship. That's its ride to space.

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MA
@MarcusHouse · 8d

Yes! I was really hoping SpaceX would share these. Incredible! 🤯

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 11d

Starship's launched, but there's a bunch of big missions to come, including a crew launch to the ISS and a Falcon Heavy on the same day! By Eleanor Day (@elliedayxo) https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/launch-preview-092926/

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Rules

If Starship HLS has a test launch after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.