α
✦
US Senate · KXMESENATEPERSON · Resolves Jul 7, 2027

Maine Senate winner? (Person)?

Showing: Susan Collins · Resolves Jul 7, 2027
Susan Collins · 43% chance▼ 1Updated 1 min ago
Feeds just now · AI summary just now

Forecast

48%44%40%
Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$933.5K
24h volume$2.0K
Open interest$580.8K
Days left269
Bid / ask42¢ / 43¢
Last43¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Troy Jackson58%▲ 1Yes 58¢ No 42¢
Susan Collins43%▼ 1Yes 43¢ No 57¢
Nirav Shah0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Angus King III0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Shenna Bellows0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Brian Bryant0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Janet Mills0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Angus King0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Valli Geiger0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Dan Kleban0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Stephen King0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Patrick Dempsey0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Sara Gideon0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Jared Golden0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Mattie Daughtrey0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Graham Platner0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢

Why it moved AI

  • The Hill, Portland Press Herald and WaPo report polls showing Jackson leading Collins in Maine Senate race.
  • NYT: Spiking heating oil costs put Collins on defensive in Maine Senate contest.
  • Collins says in debate Trump unlikely to campaign in Maine.
Generated from news and X posts below · just now ago

News

The Hill · 1h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 3h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 9h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

The Hill · 2d
Jackson holds slight lead over Collins in Maine Senate race survey

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifkFVX3lxTE1xa2pid3FVTTNSQnJQWWxUd3NqWmxBRDgtaHUydEdvVHFza0k5T05hY1RSLXYwRjl6ZjVXVGsxa1pvdnpBSklIdWZ0LWlkTXJrdHRtZmNnT285cHVsbzhJeElJbFpUU1NWYXVZMExFMXExcFlUUnZHRVFCZkpXQdIBgwFBVV95cUxNajdkcU9ZZzJtSmVJYU5RdEd0QXdMem1KZ0JvQkVLdmNfSlZfVTRwcHdkenlmTnNxT0xFYXBncWRLbk5iNlR2R05tWnNoQzR3dUdvNTNZM2JlU0VMWW5STGNZdDZoN1JUZjNHcEZrQUVSb1NpWFcwU2tHOFdZemRrcEI1Yw

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

The Portland Press Herald · 2d
Another poll shows Troy Jackson leading a tight Maine Senate race

<font color="#6f

The Washington Post · 2d
Democrat has edge over Susan Collins in critical Maine Senate battle, poll finds

Democrat has edge over Susan Collins in critical Maine Senate ba

USA Today · 3d
Maine Senate race polls show close race as Collins, Jackson debate

Maine Senate race polls show close race as Collins, Jackson deb

X Feed

SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 1d

TRY YOUR HAND: Can you construct a Senate majority? Gift link 🎁: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/08/us/elections/senate-races-midterms-battleground-states.html?unlocked_article_code=1.HlE.yOPO.flYx6SKu38Bb&smid=url-share

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Senate Majority PAC (D) announces it’s starting to play in Kansas It’ll launch a $5 million TV campaign, from tomorrow through Election Day “The gap is closing in Kansas, and we are committed to ensuring families understand” Marshall’s record, an SMP spox says #KSSEN

Open on X
SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 2d

Senate Majority PAC newly going into KANSAS with $5 million via @baylisswagner https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/us/politics/adam-hamilton-roger-marshall-kansas-senate.html

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Scoop: Ken Paxton privately complained John Cornyn “wants me to lose,” as their years-long feud boils over in a high-stakes Senate race The latest leak from a Paxton fundraiser last month: https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/ken-paxton-audio-john-cornyn #TXSEN

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 3d

Texas Forever, the Senate Majority PAC spinoff for #TXSEN, puts another $3.7 million in to the race, for a total of $5.8 million so far: https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00962308/2018469//se

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 5d

Susan Collins, asked in #MESEN debate about a possible Trump trip for her: "I don’t think that President Trump is going to come to Maine. He’s talking about going to a lot of different states. I’ve heard nothing from his office. And I’m not exactly his favorite senator."

Open on X
DA
@daveweigel · 13d

It’s a weird video but some of the discourse is people pre-spinning a potential Collins win as a defeat for consultants, not for progressives who nominated Platner then won the short primary to replace him with Jackson

Open on X

Rules

If Susan Collins wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.