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US Senate · KXMESENATEPERSON · Resolves Jul 7, 2027

Maine Senate winner? (Person)?

Showing: Troy Jackson · Resolves Jul 7, 2027
Troy Jackson · 58% chance▲ 1Updated just now
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 5h ago

Forecast

77%64%51%
Jul 25Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$733.8K
24h volume$51
Open interest$369.4K
Days left269
Bid / ask57¢ / 58¢
Last58¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Troy Jackson58%▲ 1Yes 58¢ No 42¢
Susan Collins43%0Yes 43¢ No 57¢
Angus King0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Nirav Shah0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Angus King III0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Shenna Bellows0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Brian Bryant0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Janet Mills0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Mattie Daughtrey0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Valli Geiger0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Dan Kleban0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Stephen King0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Patrick Dempsey0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Sara Gideon0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Jared Golden0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢
Graham Platner0%0Yes 0¢ No 100¢

Why it moved AI

  • NYT: Anxious Democrats turn to Bernie Sanders for jolt in Maine Senate race.
  • WaPo: Poll finds Democrat holds edge over Susan Collins in Maine battle.
  • Hill/Portland Press Herald: Jackson leads Collins in tight Maine Senate surveys.
Generated from news and X posts below · 5h ago

News

The Hill · 1h
Top Senate Republican calls Guilfoyle reports ‘very troubling’

Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), the Senate Majority Whip, on Sunday expressed concern about the recent reporting on U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle and her finances. “Well, what we've seen in the reports is very troubling. It's concerning. And I'm sure there's going to be an investigation. I would assume the State Department would be...

The Hill · 6h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 8h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 14h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

The Washington Post · 2d
Democrat has edge over Susan Collins in critical Maine Senate battle, poll finds

Democrat has edge over Susan Collins in critical Maine Senate ba

X Feed

SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 1d

TRY YOUR HAND: Can you construct a Senate majority? Gift link 🎁: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/08/us/elections/senate-races-midterms-battleground-states.html?unlocked_article_code=1.HlE.yOPO.flYx6SKu38Bb&smid=url-share

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Senate Majority PAC (D) announces it’s starting to play in Kansas It’ll launch a $5 million TV campaign, from tomorrow through Election Day “The gap is closing in Kansas, and we are committed to ensuring families understand” Marshall’s record, an SMP spox says #KSSEN

Open on X
SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 2d

Senate Majority PAC newly going into KANSAS with $5 million via @baylisswagner https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/us/politics/adam-hamilton-roger-marshall-kansas-senate.html

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Scoop: Ken Paxton privately complained John Cornyn “wants me to lose,” as their years-long feud boils over in a high-stakes Senate race The latest leak from a Paxton fundraiser last month: https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/ken-paxton-audio-john-cornyn #TXSEN

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 3d

Talarico’s 12-day absence from trail becomes fodder for GOP in Texas Senate race, via @ArletteSaenz https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/08/politics/james-talarico-campaign-trail-paxton-texas #TXSEN

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 3d

Texas Forever, the Senate Majority PAC spinoff for #TXSEN, puts another $3.7 million in to the race, for a total of $5.8 million so far: https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00962308/2018469//se

Open on X
DA
@daveweigel · 3d

Progressives want Chris Van Hollen but all I’m saying is, if Dems win the senate they’ll be too busy crying tears of joy about Schumer recruiting Peltola to want a real leadership fight

Open on X
HE
@HenryJGomez · 3d

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will campaign with Abdul El-Sayed today ahead of his #MISen debate with Mike Rogers. Whitmer, who beat El-Sayed in the 2018 primary for governor, endorsed Stevens in this year’s Senate primary.

Open on X

Rules

If Troy Jackson wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.