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Space · KXNEWGLENN · Resolves Nov 1, 2026

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

Showing: Before November · Resolves Nov 1, 2026
Before November · 1% chance0Updated just now
Feeds 41m ago · AI summary 4h ago

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$2.3K
24h volume$0
Open interest$441
Days left21
Bid / ask0¢ / 2¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Before Apr 202769%▼ 1Yes 69¢ No 31¢
Before Mar 202748%▲ 6Yes 48¢ No 52¢
Before Feb 202733%▲ 12Yes 33¢ No 67¢
Before 20278%0Yes 8¢ No 92¢
Before December3%▲ 2Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Before October50%▲ 49Yes 50¢ No 50¢
Before September50%▲ 49Yes 50¢ No 50¢
Before November1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceNews: Blue Origin seeking to increase New Glenn launch cadence at Cape Canaveral.
  • NY Post: Bezos mentions possible IPO in coming years after rocket disaster.
  • @NASAWatch: Thomas Zurbuchen joins Blue Origin.
  • @joroulette: Blue Origin CEO confirms “Space Vehicle” but unclear on NASA funding path.
Generated from news and X posts below · 4h ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 2d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC).

Advanced Television · 2d
Blue Origin confirms 2026 launch
New York Post · 3d
Blue Origin IPO could come in next few years, Jeff Bezos says in wake of rocket disaster

Blue Origin IPO could come in next few years, Jeff Bezos say

Spaceflight Now · 7d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday.

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT.

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

Blue Origin · Jun 30
New Glenn Return to Flight

X Feed

RG
@RGVaerialphotos · 14h

Pad 1 launch mount, flame deflector, and SQD arm under construction at the Sanchez lot. Starbase Weekly is live in 3 hours!

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JO
@joroulette · 4d

Blue Origin CEO confirms the existence of “Space Vehicle” but no clarity on whether it’d bring it to market without NASA funding

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LA
@LabPadre · 6d

Flight 10 launch -12.10 Pa peak -115.6 dB peak pressure level (not RMS SPL) -strongest freq near 7.24 Hz Booster 16 return sonic boom -10.66 Pa peak -114.5 dB peak pressure level (not RMS SPL) -strongest freq near 1.45 Hz B16 return was instant but 11.9% lower peak pressure.

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NA
@NASAWatch · 7d

Thomas Zurbuchen joins Blue Origin https://ethz.ch/en/news-and-events/eth-news/news/2026/10/thomas-zurbuchen-joins-blue-origin.html "What will you be doing in your new position? In my role as Senior Vice President, I will lead Blue Origin's Advanced Concepts team in the US, which develops next-generation concepts and systems to advance a sustainable future of living and working in space. That means we’ll have a major say in what this space technology company builds next. This challenge really appealed to me. In my opinion, Blue Origin sits at the forefront of space technology development. @Dr_ThomasZ @blueorigin

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LA
@LabPadre · 11d

🚨 TRIPLE HEADER THURSDAY: SpaceX is aiming for THREE launches in under 13 hours! 🚀🔥 SpaceX is set to deliver an incredible demonstration of rapid launch cadence and operational flexibility this Thursday, October 1st. Featuring three missions powered by 2 Falcon 9's and a Falcon Heavy, from the East and West Coasts. Here is the full mission-by-mission breakdown: 1️⃣ NASA Crew-13 | Human Spaceflight 🚀 Vehicle: Falcon 9 Block 5 (Booster 1101-3) 📍 Launchpad: Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40), Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, FL ⏰ Target Time: 11:10 AM EDT / 15:10 UTC 🛰️ Mission: Transports NASA astronauts Jessica Watkins and Luke Delaney, CSA astronaut Joshua Kutryk, and Roscosmos cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov to the International Space Station for Expedition 75/76. ⏱️ Flight Dynamics: Dragon docking with the ISS is targeted ~9 hours post-launch (~8:00 PM EDT / 00:00 UTC Oct 2). 2️⃣ Transporter-18 | Dedicated SSO Rideshare 🚀 Vehicle: Falcon 9 Block 5 (Booster 1082-25) 📍 Launchpad: Space Launch Complex 4E (SLC-4E), Vandenberg Space Force Base, CA ⏰ Target Time: 11:18 AM PDT / 2:18 PM EDT / 18:18 UTC (58-minute launch window) 🛰️ Mission: SpaceX’s dedicated sun-synchronous orbit (SSO) smallsat rideshare carrying dozens of micro-satellites, CubeSats, and orbital transfer vehicles for various global commercial and research customers. 3️⃣ NROL-97 | National Security Heavy-Lift 🚀 Vehicle: Falcon Heavy (Boosters: 1072-4, 1104-2 and 1106) 📍 Launchpad: Historic Launch Complex 39A (LC-39A), Kennedy Space Center, FL ⏰ Target Time: 11:53 PM EDT / 03:53 UTC Oct 2 🛰️ Mission: Classified heavy-lift mission conducted for the U.S. National Reconnaissance Office (NRO). High-energy insertion into orbit powered by Falcon Heavy’s dual side-booster configuration. 📊 By the Numbers: 3 Launches across 2 states (Florida & California) 2 Falcon 9s + 1 Falcon Heavy 4 Booster landings (2 for Falcon Heavy and 1 for each Falcon 9 launch) Under 13 hours between first liftoff and final launch Which stream are you hosting your watch parties on? Let us know in the replies! 🍿👇

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LA
@LabPadre · 11d

Giga bay crews wasted no time after the launch and set up the roof top derrick crane that will be used to dismantle the tower cranes that where used to build the building.

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CS
@CSI_Starbase · 13d

Very sad I missed the launch this morning for the first time ever. But congrats to SpaceX for successfully reaching orbit!

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Rules

If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.