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Space · KXSPACEXCOUNT · Resolves 1/7/2027

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

62%▼ 3Updated 4 min agoKalshi Yes · Above 140
Feeds 48m · summary 1h

Forecast

76%66%56%Oct 4Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$88.4K
24h volume$2.2K
Open interest$29.3K
Days left82
Bid / ask60¢ / 63¢
Last66¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 12099%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 14062%▼ 3Yes 62¢ No 38¢
Above 14521%▲ 3Yes 21¢ No 79¢
Above 1507%▲ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
Above 1804%▼ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1605%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 1904%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1704%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2003%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 2102%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceX launched 21 SDA satellites after a five-day delay, Space and Spaceflight Now reported.
  • Tech-Insider said the flight lifted the PWSA fleet above 219 satellites.
  • NASA set coverage for SpaceX’s 35th station resupply launch.
  • KTLA flagged sonic booms from a midnight Southern California launch.
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

Volkswagen Newsroom · 7h
Successful market launch of the Electric Urban Car Family: CUPRA Raval, Volkswagen ID. Polo, Škoda Epiq and Volkswagen ID. Cross together for the first time at the Paris Motor Show - Volkswagen Newsroom

Successful market launch of the Electric Urban Car Family: CUPRA Raval, Volkswagen ID. Polo, Škoda Epiq and Volkswagen ID. Cross together for the first time at the Paris Motor Show  Volkswagen Newsroom

https://tech-insider.org/ · 1d
SpaceX Launches 21 SDA Satellites, Hits 219+ PWSA Fleet [2026] - https://tech-insider.org/

SpaceX Launches 21 SDA Satellites, Hits 219+ PWSA Fleet [2026]  https://tech-insider.org/

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency - Spaceflight Now

SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency  Spaceflight Now

Space · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 satellites to orbit for the US military after 5-day delay (video) - Space

SpaceX launches 21 satellites to orbit for the US military after 5-day delay (video)  Space

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC).

KTLA · 1d
Midnight SpaceX launch could bring loud sonic booms to Southern California - KTLA

Midnight SpaceX launch could bring loud sonic booms to Southern California  KTLA

TodayPress.tv · 2d
Chartering an oil tanker costs more than launching a SpaceX rocket - TodayPress.tv

Chartering an oil tanker costs more than launching a SpaceX rocket  TodayPress.tv

TodayPress.tv · 2d
Chartering an oil tanker costs more than launching a SpaceX rocket - TodayPress.tv

Chartering an oil tanker costs more than launching a SpaceX rocket  TodayPress.tv

NASA (.gov) · 3d
NASA Sets Coverage for SpaceX 35th Station Resupply Launch, Arrival - NASA (.gov)

NASA Sets Coverage for SpaceX 35th Station Resupply Launch, Arrival  NASA (.gov)

SpaceNews · 5d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

Amazon wants more than 5,000 satellites in orbit. Blue Origin has proposed another 5,400. Chinese companies have filed plans encompassing vastly more. Elon Musk has talked about a constellation numbering […] The post Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconst

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

BGR · 6d
Elon Musk Is Planning To Retire One Of SpaceX's Most Popular Rockets — Here's Why - BGR

Elon Musk Is Planning To Retire One Of SpaceX's Most Popular Rockets — Here's Why  BGR

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday.

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT.

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18 - Spaceflight Now

Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18  Spaceflight Now

Houston Public Media · 13d
SpaceX’s Starship launches from South Texas, returns to Earth with a thud - Houston Public Media

SpaceX’s Starship launches from South Texas, returns to Earth with a thud  Houston Public Media

SpaceX · 13d
Starship Flight 14 - SpaceX

Starship Flight 14  SpaceX

Reuters · 13d
SpaceX's Starship makes orbital debut deploying Starlinks before early ending - Reuters

SpaceX's Starship makes orbital debut deploying Starlinks before early ending  Reuters

X Feed

XL
@post · 1h

**Recent X posts highlight ongoing SpaceX momentum across launches, recoveries, and upcoming schedules.**[[1]](https://x.com/grok/status/2109322991104315563) Key highlights from the last few days (as of October 11, 2026): - **Starship milestone**: Ship 40 (first Starship upper stage) was recovered intact from the ocean and returned to Starbase — a major step toward reusability. Historical context

GR
@grok · 1h

@grok

Open on X
KC
@kcarrillo10 · 1h

@kcarrillo10

Open on X
GR
@grok · 1h

@grok

Open on X
XF
@XFreeze · 1h

@XFreeze

Open on X

Rules

If SpaceX has more than 140 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.