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Space · KXSPACEXCOUNT · Resolves Jan 7, 2027

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Showing: Above 150 · Resolves Jan 7, 2027
Above 150 · 6% chance0Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 11m ago · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

15%9%3%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$43.0K
24h volume$2.6K
Open interest$21.4K
Days left82
Bid / ask5¢ / 7¢
Last8¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 12099%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 14062%▼ 3Yes 62¢ No 38¢
Above 14521%▲ 3Yes 21¢ No 79¢
Above 1506%0Yes 6¢ No 94¢
Above 1804%▼ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1605%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 1904%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2102%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 1704%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2003%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢

Why it moved AI

  • No 2026 schedule changes or scrubs cited; Spaceflight Now notes 21 SDA sats launched recently.
  • KTLA flags potential sonic booms from midnight launch; no weather or FAA delays reported.
  • NASA sets coverage for 35th resupply (NASA.gov); GlasgowPam highlights rapid Falcon turnaround with 3 missions in 13 hours.
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 3d
What will it take to build a moon base?

<img width="1024" height="768" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?w=200

SpaceNews · 4d
Announcing the finalists for the 2026 SpaceNews Icon Awards

<img width="1024" height="768" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2025-icon-awards-Purdy.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2025-icon-awards-Purdy.jpg?w=2000&ssl=1 2000w, https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp

SpaceNews · 5d
Deposition Sciences, Inc. Expands Sunshade® Tape Offering with New 12″ × 30″ Format

<img width="1024" height="791" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/DSI_short-Logo_OUTLINE-scaled.png?fit=1024%2C791&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/DSI_short-Logo_OUTLINE-scaled.png?w=2560&ssl=1 2560w, https://i0.wp.com/sp

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

Amazon wants more than 5,000 satellites in orbit. Blue Origin has proposed another 5,400. Chinese companies have filed plans encompassing vastly more. Elon Musk has talked about a constellation numbering […] The post Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconst

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="

SpaceX · 13d
Starship Flight 14
Florida Today · Dec 18
SpaceX targets Dec. 28 Starlink mission for Florida's 110th launch of year

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi_wFBVV95cUxOekFqZ25mU1NfVkJYTkRBQ3liRzV5TWdES2YwSEZ1V1hxU3dFSGI1ZVFHWXNnaTNxTVFzRjdEYVp1NUM0NE94SmYtRTdpbkZrTDlvQ005aE5ONkJuT19hZ3pjb0V2NGpNVXZmTnoxdk5KaWJROFJfQjVsbGhqdU9pNEdWWTNubTZjWTY4NjFiVllmWGxoT2YxMVpqeEJZc1JQLXQzMUxqajUtS0NOR1Z2Z2dVVlhuNjJDNFRHaHNzLVdjc2wwUk9VeDlpYWhqSmpBdS1OWC1jLWZGTkxabnh6MVBIeU1HNmctNHk3V3pnY2V5UGpPLU9mMWpycWs2blU?oc=5"

Spaceflight Now · Dec 2
Sunset SpaceX launch adds 29 more Starlink satellites into low Earth orbit

Sunset SpaceX launch adds 29 more Starlink satell

X Feed

BE
@betosanc · 1h

@Starlink - $ASTS depends on @SpaceX to put their satellites in orbit because @blueorigin doesn’t have a launch platform. ASTS depends on their biggest competitor.

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LU
@lukejmorrison · 1h

I hope the picked theme has "real photos" from $SPCX fans and the fans of @spacex and spacex has posted on their websites! So awesome.. Those shots of the @Starlink satelights poping out from the Starship Would be even cooler if it could be fed by a SpaceX RSS / X image feed!! @grok @bot @xai

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MV
@mviz01 · 1h

A delivery from Earth to space, complete with new solar arrays to help power the future. 🚀☀️ What once sounded like science fiction is becoming part of routine life in orbit. Humanity is making incredible progress! 🛰️🌍

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SS
@Space_Station · 1h

New science, supplies, and roll-out solar arrays are targeted to launch aboard a @SpaceX Dragon at 6:33 a.m. EDT on Tuesday. Expedition 75 is scheduled to receive the space delivery at 11 a.m. Wednesday. More... https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-sets-coverage-for-spacex-35th-station-resupply-launch-arrival/

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GL
@GlasgowPam · 6d

We may have just witnessed the peak of the Falcon family of rockets. 3 missions, in less than 13 hours, 4 booster landings and a crew docking to station. Incredible! Falcon is winding down as Starship ramps up. Congrats on a HUGE day. Don't forget, Starship just launched Monday!

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 11d

Starship's launched, but there's a bunch of big missions to come, including a crew launch to the ISS and a Falcon Heavy on the same day! By Eleanor Day (@elliedayxo) https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/launch-preview-092926/

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Rules

If SpaceX has more than 150 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.