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Space · KXSPACEXCOUNT · Resolves Jan 7, 2027

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Showing: Above 170 · Resolves Jan 7, 2027
Above 170 · 4% chance▲ 1Updated 4 min ago
Feeds 13m ago · AI summary 3h ago

Forecast

9%5%0%Oct 5Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$87.0K
24h volume$2
Open interest$31.1K
Days left82
Bid / ask3¢ / 4¢
Last2¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 12099%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 14062%▼ 3Yes 62¢ No 38¢
Above 14521%▲ 3Yes 21¢ No 79¢
Above 1506%0Yes 6¢ No 94¢
Above 1804%▼ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1605%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 1904%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2102%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 1704%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2003%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceX launched 21 SDA data satellites after a five-day delay (Space; Spaceflight Now).
  • Tech Insider says the flight lifted the PWSA fleet above 219 satellites.
  • Cited coverage notes that delay, not a new FAA hold, weather scrub, or pad-turnaround change.
Generated from news and X posts below · 3h ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

<img width="1024" height="1024" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/agile-space-industries-square-logo-scaled.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="agile space industries logo" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/agile-space-industries

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

Houston Public Media · 13d
SpaceX’s Starship launches from South Texas, returns to Earth with a thud

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi6wFBVV95cUxPYmptNWw5X0w0ekQwNVV2ckNFMlY3Yzc1WkY1a1UzSXVyQ2lMWk5SMTdjMGNGTkhWYmhoZ2dtWGxGR0Ytb1U1cm9telNlNm52MHpRdDZwUGZhNnl0QzU2anliSENYUGFtYkJMdXl0Q3didUc1ZF8yTm9BNm1qeDdGQVBlRmREYktNeXNpVUE0cnJGWVp3QTd1M3UwX3FfUUpibGRQazdGZjJGeV9hZTZKS2prandDMWNjbHRySkItQnp6UnlMcHFrT0VTelc2QmlELXB5d0llYUFsSGNPQ2JFN2FGSEhLUjd2UGVr0gHzAUFVX3lxTFBZdVRWZllXeGlBeDFzTk

X Feed

LU
@lukejmorrison · 1h

I hope the picked theme has "real photos" from $SPCX fans and the fans of @spacex and spacex has posted on their websites! So awesome.. Those shots of the @Starlink satelights poping out from the Starship Would be even cooler if it could be fed by a SpaceX RSS / X image feed!! @grok @bot @xai

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MV
@mviz01 · 1h

A delivery from Earth to space, complete with new solar arrays to help power the future. 🚀☀️ What once sounded like science fiction is becoming part of routine life in orbit. Humanity is making incredible progress! 🛰️🌍

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OM
@OmnipotentCEO · 1h

God Speed

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PE
@PeterRaktoe · 1h

@elonmusk NASA shamelessly continues to lie, they have no conscience, and the incompetent journalists/media ensure that they can continue to lie, Trump still thinks that it's a good idea to give them 25 billions dollars per year (tax money) while they are knowingly fooling the American people. How can massive structures warp/curve a non-real mathematical spacetime model?, and how many physicists proved that gravity applies to the galaxy itself or the lensing/bending of light?, ZERO physicists, they don't even know what gravity is (fact), and how can gravity be the result of a curved mathematical spacetime model?, nonsense/lies upon nonsense/lies, NASA needs those lies for their useless/fraudulent spacetime based research projects in the previous post, they are in incompetent, billions of dollars (tax money) wasted on lies/fraud, and the US government continues to promote the US with fraudulent non-scientific research, they know that NASA and the physics community are fooling the students/people/world.

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IN
@India1991hello · 1h

Titanium better material Looking what has happened to stainless steel after being in atmosphere @spacex @nasa @potus

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SS
@Space_Station · 1h

New science, supplies, and roll-out solar arrays are targeted to launch aboard a @SpaceX Dragon at 6:33 a.m. EDT on Tuesday. Expedition 75 is scheduled to receive the space delivery at 11 a.m. Wednesday. More... https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-sets-coverage-for-spacex-35th-station-resupply-launch-arrival/

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Rules

If SpaceX has more than 170 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.