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Space · KXSPACEXCOUNT · Resolves Jan 7, 2027

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Showing: Above 180 · Resolves Jan 7, 2027
Above 180 · 4% chance▼ 1Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 5m ago · AI summary 41m ago

Forecast

7%4%0%Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11

Stats

Volume$129.5K
24h volume$0
Open interest$43.8K
Days left82
Bid / ask3¢ / 4¢
Last5¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 12099%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 14062%▼ 3Yes 62¢ No 38¢
Above 14521%▲ 3Yes 21¢ No 79¢
Above 1507%▲ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
Above 1804%▼ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1605%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 1904%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1704%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2003%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 2102%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceX launches 21 SDA satellites after 5-day delay, reaching 219+ PWSA fleet. (tech-insider.org [2026], Spaceflight Now)
  • NASA sets coverage for SpaceX 35th station resupply launch. (NASA.gov)
  • Midnight launch may cause sonic booms in Southern California. (KTLA)
Generated from news and X posts below · 41m ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

<img width="1024" height="1024" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/agile-space-industries-square-logo-scaled.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="agile space industries logo" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/agile-space-industries

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

SpaceX · 13d
Starship Flight 14
Houston Public Media · 13d
SpaceX’s Starship launches from South Texas, returns to Earth with a thud

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi6wFBVV95cUxPYmptNWw5X0w0ekQwNVV2ckNFMlY3Yzc1WkY1a1UzSXVyQ2lMWk5SMTdjMGNGTkhWYmhoZ2dtWGxGR0Ytb1U1cm9telNlNm52MHpRdDZwUGZhNnl0QzU2anliSENYUGFtYkJMdXl0Q3didUc1ZF8yTm9BNm1qeDdGQVBlRmREYktNeXNpVUE0cnJGWVp3QTd1M3UwX3FfUUpibGRQazdGZjJGeV9hZTZKS2prandDMWNjbHRySkItQnp6UnlMcHFrT0VTelc2QmlELXB5d0llYUFsSGNPQ2JFN2FGSEhLUjd2UGVr0gHzAUFVX3lxTFBZdVRWZllXeGlBeDFzTk

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If SpaceX has more than 180 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.