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Space · KXSPACEXCOUNT · Resolves Jan 7, 2027

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Showing: Above 210 · Resolves Jan 7, 2027
Above 210 · 2% chance0Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 37m ago · AI summary 37m ago

Forecast

7%4%0%Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$52.3K
24h volume$0
Open interest$20.1K
Days left82
Bid / ask1¢ / 2¢
Last2¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 12099%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 14062%▼ 3Yes 62¢ No 38¢
Above 14521%▲ 3Yes 21¢ No 79¢
Above 1507%▲ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
Above 1804%▼ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1605%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 1904%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1704%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2003%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 2102%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceX scrubbed SDA satellite launch attempt (Spaceflight Now).
  • Five missions flown in six days, including Starship Flight 14 (X @cb_doge).
  • Three Falcon launches and four landings in under 13 hours (X @Erdayastronaut).
Generated from news and X posts below · 37m ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

<img width="1024" height="1024" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/agile-space-industries-square-logo-scaled.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="agile space industries logo" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/agile-space-industries

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

Houston Public Media · 13d
SpaceX’s Starship launches from South Texas, returns to Earth with a thud

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi6wFBVV95cUxPYmptNWw5X0w0ekQwNVV2ckNFMlY3Yzc1WkY1a1UzSXVyQ2lMWk5SMTdjMGNGTkhWYmhoZ2dtWGxGR0Ytb1U1cm9telNlNm52MHpRdDZwUGZhNnl0QzU2anliSENYUGFtYkJMdXl0Q3didUc1ZF8yTm9BNm1qeDdGQVBlRmREYktNeXNpVUE0cnJGWVp3QTd1M3UwX3FfUUpibGRQazdGZjJGeV9hZTZKS2prandDMWNjbHRySkItQnp6UnlMcHFrT0VTelc2QmlELXB5d0llYUFsSGNPQ2JFN2FGSEhLUjd2UGVr0gHzAUFVX3lxTFBZdVRWZllXeGlBeDFzTk

X Feed

SS
@Space_Station · 1h

New science, supplies, and roll-out solar arrays are targeted to launch aboard a @SpaceX Dragon at 6:33 a.m. EDT on Tuesday. Expedition 75 is scheduled to receive the space delivery at 11 a.m. Wednesday. More... https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-sets-coverage-for-spacex-35th-station-resupply-launch-arrival/

Open on X
HA
@Happycamperin12 · 1d

[SpaceX 2026 Launch and Landings] Launch - 117th Landing - 116th Vehicle - Falcon 9 Mission- @SemperCitiusSDA 's fourth Tranche 1 Total Falcon Landings - 669th

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MR
@mrkylefield · 6d

SpaceX is moving so fast! The last Falcon-based @Starlink launch was on August 25th. Starship just launched the first Starlink V3 satellite and now they're pushing hardware over to Florida to support even more launches there. 💪😎

Open on X
CD
@cb_doge · 9d

SpaceX launched five missions in the last six days. • Sep 26 — USSF-385, Falcon 9 • Sep 28 — Starship Flight 14 • Oct 1 — Crew-13, Falcon 9 • Oct 1 — Transporter-18, Falcon 9 • Oct 1 — NROL-97, Falcon Heavy Three of them launched in less than 13 hours.

Open on X
ER
@Erdayastronaut · 9d

We may have just witnessed the peak of the Falcon family of rockets. 3 missions, in less than 13 hours, 4 booster landings and a crew docking to station. Incredible! Falcon is winding down as Starship ramps up. Congrats on a HUGE day. Don't forget, Starship just launched Monday!

Open on X
OS
@Osint613 · 13d

SpaceX's Starship lifted off from Texas on its debut orbital mission. Onboard: the first batch of operational Starlink satellites.

Open on X

Rules

If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.