| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 35% | โฒ 4 | Yes 35ยข No 65ยข |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 50% | โฒ 49 | Yes 50ยข No 50ยข |
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If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.