| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 51% | ▼ 5 | Yes 51¢ No 49¢ |
| 4 | 38% | ▼ 1 | Yes 38¢ No 62¢ |
| 3 | 5% | 0 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| 6 | 3% | 0 | Yes 3¢ No 97¢ |
| 8 | 2% | ▼ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| 9 | 2% | ▲ 1 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
| 2 | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| 10 or above | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| 1 or below | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| 7 | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
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Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti
<img width="1024" height="768" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?w=200
The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s
The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).
Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=
The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="
SpaceX launches Starship into orbit for 1st time — largest rocket ever buil
SpaceX’s Starship Reaches Orbit, Cuts 10-Hour Mission Short Aft
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No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If exactly 9 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight. Each launch is considered separate and will contribute to count separately, even if the same Starship is launched multiple times. (For example, if in period the same Starship is launched twice and reaches space twice, count will be 2).