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Space · KXSTARSHIPSPACE · Resolves Jan 1, 2027

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Showing: 10 or above · Resolves Jan 1, 2027
10 or above · 1% chance0Updated 5 min ago
Feeds 5m ago · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

5%3%0%Sep 26Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$664
24h volume$0
Open interest$490
Days left82
Bid / ask0¢ / 1¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
551%▼ 5Yes 51¢ No 49¢
438%▼ 1Yes 38¢ No 62¢
35%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
82%▼ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢
63%0Yes 3¢ No 97¢
1 or below1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
71%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
92%▲ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢
21%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
10 or above1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Starship Flight 14 reaches orbit (SpaceX, CNBC, NPR)
  • Ship 40 returns home; Ship 42 begins testing (@NASASpaceflight)
  • No Starship scrubs, weather delays or FAA updates cited
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago