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Space · KXMOON · Resolves 12/31/2027

NASA lands on the moon?

3%▲ 1Updated 2 min agoKalshi Yes · Before 2028
Feeds 48m · summary 1h

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$222.7K
24h volume$0
Open interest$66.2K
Days left446
Bid / ask2¢ / 4¢
Last2¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Before 203041%▲ 1Yes 41¢ No 59¢
Before 202925%▲ 3Yes 25¢ No 75¢
Before 20283%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Before 20271%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • No scrub, weather, FAA, or pad item appears; the odds move is unknown.
  • Mashable and Live Science cover Artemis II sights and a science report, not a landing.
  • NASA heat-shield tests and station plans do not date a crewed Moon landing.
  • The SDA satellite launch and MetLife flyover are unrelated to Artemis timing.
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

Mashable · 6h
Artemis II astronauts saw the flashes of 5 meteor impacts on the moon - Mashable

Artemis II astronauts saw the flashes of 5 meteor impacts on the moon  Mashable

Live Science · 8h
'Swamp-like colors' on the moon: New 130-page NASA science report reveals strange sights from Artemis II mission - Live Science

'Swamp-like colors' on the moon: New 130-page NASA science report reveals strange sights from Artemis II mission  Live Science

NASA · 14h
APOD: 2026 October 11 – Ice Fishing for Cosmic Neutrinos

APOD Science APOD APOD: 2026 October 11 – Ice… Today’s APOD Archive Submissions Index Search Calendar RSS Education About Discuss   APOD Astronomy Picture of the Day Discover the cosmos! Each day a different image or photograph of our fascinating universe is featured, along with

NASA · 1d
NASA to Conduct Flyover, Engage NFL Fans at MetLife Stadium

As part of the agency’s Inspiration Tour flyover, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman will pilot one of three F-5 fighter jets to kick off the New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns game in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Sunday, Oct. 11. NASA team members will engage with fans at the

NASA · 1d
APOD: 2026 October 10 – Lunar Farside

APOD Science APOD APOD: 2026 October 10… Today’s APOD Archive Submissions Index Search Calendar RSS Education About Discuss   APOD Astronomy Picture of the Day Discover the cosmos! Each day a different image or photograph of our fascinating universe is featured, along with a brie

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC).

NASA · 2d
NASA Seeks US Industry Plans for Commercial Space Stations

NASA is advancing American leadership in space by taking the next step toward a future where commercial space stations lead the way in low Earth orbit. On Friday, the agency released its final Request for Proposals inviting industry to submit plans for the next generation of comm

NASA · 2d
NASA Demonstrates Next-Generation Heat Shield Technologies

NASA is testing heat shields that can keep astronauts safe as they return from missions to the Moon and Mars in an unusual way: by taking out the trash. When Northrop Grumman 24th cargo resupply mission for NASA undocked from the International Space Station, it carried a fleet of

Britannica · 2d
Artemis III | Mission, Date, Crew, & Spacecraft - Britannica

Artemis III | Mission, Date, Crew, & Spacecraft  Britannica

NASA (.gov) · 2d
NASA’s SpaceX Crew‑12 Splashes Down, Sets Briefing to Discuss Mission - NASA (.gov)

NASA’s SpaceX Crew‑12 Splashes Down, Sets Briefing to Discuss Mission  NASA (.gov)

Scientific American · 2d
See more sights and sounds from the Artemis II moon mission - Scientific American

See more sights and sounds from the Artemis II moon mission  Scientific American

SpaceNews · 3d
What will it take to build a moon base?

In this episode, a panel of industry experts discuss what’s needed to build a moon base. During a live event at the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg Center, leaders Astrolab, Firefly […] The post What will it take to build a moon base? appeared first on SpaceNews.

NASA (.gov) · 3d
NASA Sets Coverage for SpaceX 35th Station Resupply Launch, Arrival - NASA (.gov)

NASA Sets Coverage for SpaceX 35th Station Resupply Launch, Arrival  NASA (.gov)

NASA (.gov) · 4d
NASA Releases Artemis II Lunar Science Data, Images - NASA (.gov)

NASA Releases Artemis II Lunar Science Data, Images  NASA (.gov)

Aerospace Global News · 5d
NASA’s Artemis III Mission: Inside the Complex 2027 Earth-Orbit Dress Rehearsal - Aerospace Global News

NASA’s Artemis III Mission: Inside the Complex 2027 Earth-Orbit Dress Rehearsal  Aerospace Global News

NASA (.gov) · 5d
Artemis II: NASA’s First Crewed Lunar Flyby in 50 Years - NASA (.gov)

Artemis II: NASA’s First Crewed Lunar Flyby in 50 Years  NASA (.gov)

SpaceNews · 5d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

Amazon wants more than 5,000 satellites in orbit. Blue Origin has proposed another 5,400. Chinese companies have filed plans encompassing vastly more. Elon Musk has talked about a constellation numbering […] The post Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconst

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday.

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT.

X Feed

NA
@NASASpox · 1h

@NASASpox

Open on X
SP
@SpaceX · 1h

@SpaceX

Open on X
NA
@NASASpaceflight · 1h

@NASASpaceflight

Open on X
PH
@phyeoIB29U14555 · 1h

@phyeoIB29U14555

Open on X
MU
@Muaddibisme · 2h

@Muaddibisme

Open on X
NA
@NASASpaceflight · 2h

@NASASpaceflight

Open on X
SC
@SciAriel · 2h

@SciAriel

Open on X
DA
@Davidknows2 · 2h

@Davidknows2

Open on X

Rules

If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.