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US Senate · RSENATESEATS · Resolves Feb 1, 2027

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Showing: Above 57 · Resolves Feb 1, 2027
Above 57 · 3% chance▲ 1Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 4h ago

Forecast

9%5%0%
Sep 13Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$374.6K
24h volume$34.8K
Open interest$344.0K
Days left113
Bid / ask2¢ / 4¢
Last4¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
4817%▲ 1Yes 17¢ No 83¢
4714%0Yes 14¢ No 86¢
5013%0Yes 13¢ No 87¢
4913%▲ 1Yes 13¢ No 87¢
4610%0Yes 10¢ No 90¢
518%▲ 1Yes 8¢ No 92¢
458%▲ 1Yes 8¢ No 92¢
Below 458%0Yes 8¢ No 92¢
527%▲ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
535%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 573%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
553%0Yes 3¢ No 97¢
544%0Yes 4¢ No 96¢
562%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢
571%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Senate Majority PAC starts $5M Kansas TV buy and adds $3.7M in Texas as races tighten (Svitek, Goldmacher)
  • SLF exits NC; internal poll shows Democratic Rep. Davis leading 47-39 (Goldmacher, Svitek)
  • NYT notes GOP nervousness in Great Plains; Hill reports NC shifting Democratic
Generated from news and X posts below · 4h ago