α
✦
US Senate · RSENATESEATS · Resolves Feb 1, 2027

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Showing: 53 · Resolves Feb 1, 2027
53 · 5% chance0Updated 3 min ago
Feeds 3h ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

9%5%1%
Oct 11

Stats

Volume$125.6K
24h volume$3.4K
Open interest$121.7K
Days left113
Bid / ask4¢ / 5¢
Last5¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
4816%0Yes 16¢ No 84¢
4711%▼ 3Yes 11¢ No 89¢
4913%▲ 1Yes 13¢ No 87¢
5013%0Yes 13¢ No 87¢
4610%0Yes 10¢ No 90¢
458%▲ 1Yes 8¢ No 92¢
518%▲ 1Yes 8¢ No 92¢
Below 458%0Yes 8¢ No 92¢
527%▲ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
535%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 573%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
544%0Yes 4¢ No 96¢
553%0Yes 3¢ No 97¢
562%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢
571%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

The Hill · 4h
Top Senate Republican calls Guilfoyle reports ‘very troubling’

Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), the Senate Majority Whip, on Sunday expressed concern about the recent reporting on U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle and her finances. “Well, what we've seen in the reports is very troubling. It's concerning. And I'm sure there's going to be an investigation. I would assume the State Department would be...

The Hill · 8h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

Democracy Docket · 9h
Bannon: GOP struggling to hold Senate because it didn’t pass SAVE America Act

Bannon: GOP struggling to hold Senate because it didn’t pass SAVE America

The Hill · 10h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 15h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 16h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 1d
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

The Hill · 1d
GOP lawmakers reject US-Russia diesel deal, Trump's Zelensky comments

Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration's Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needs a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said Friday he supported the president’s decision, but he doesn’t “support his decision to import it from Putin. Vladimir Putin is a butcher. He's a butcher...

South Carolina Daily Gazette · 2d
US Senate majority leader campaigns with Darline Graham in SC, saying GOP can't 'take any chances'

US Senate majority leader campaigns with Darline

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

The Conversation · 3d
The American mood is turning dark, and Republicans are likely to pay the price at the midterms

The American mood is turning dark, and Republicans are like

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If the Republican party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.