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US Senate · SENATEAK · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Alaska Senate?

Showing: Republican party · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Republican party · 27% chance▲ 1Updated 7 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 3h ago

Forecast

38%30%22%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.6M
24h volume$4.7K
Open interest$830.8K
Days left388
Bid / ask26¢ / 27¢
Last27¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Democratic party74%0Yes 74¢ No 26¢
Republican party27%▲ 1Yes 27¢ No 73¢

Why it moved AI

  • No Alaska Senate polls, fundraising, or candidate news reported.
  • Coverage focuses on other races: Kansas, Ohio, South Carolina (@DecisionDeskHQ, @CookPolitical).
Generated from news and X posts below · 3h ago

News

The Hill · 2h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 7h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 8h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

PhillyBurbs · 14h
Who do latest polls show winning 2026 midterms? See odds, forecasts

Who do latest polls show win

Politico · 21h
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

Politico · 1d
Trump boosts a New York ally in a tough race

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

Decision Desk HQ | Substack · 2d
📈 Could Democrats actually flip Kansas’s Senate seat?

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Forbes · 2d
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Jackson Leads In Maine, Hinson Ahead In Iowa (Updated Daily)

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-gFBVV95cUxQVEpVa2lyNnExT25LM0hjMmtqallxNXdDU25GZWZXWUg0WGd0Yi1WX1ctcG5FS0ZXQi1FSHRkMXNFVWktY3F0TjQ2YXRGY0tWdnBQeWZWVEVRUUc2QTd5T2NzbTdyWUpYZkUxV2h2Wk1kNERUZ1c0RUl0U2lFVU4yOXh6RVBicFdaeG5iWkJBQUJsNnpFT251Y3dScEg4TVBVa3JWdC1oNHNwSTFOVzdKak9iNmlDSmU2ZUJ0cFp1QjlNa2plR01PSG5uaVFGOE80SXZFM0plNjFPdGE4d1VDcVRNQ1ZXWDMtVkZSWXd5ZF8wbXJ3MDlMRDBB?oc=5" target=

PBS · 3d
5 House districts where Republicans are looking to turn the tables as Democrats eye big midterm wins

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAJBVV95cUxOcEhPWllLeUpIak14UmV3SEhRcElEdTNTNkh1Z2x0a1BqM0U5NHFMYThBODFsaUFCY2NPTWM4M0tNNkRSc3JKM1p6WXFwSU1tSXNwQ2M1WnQ0dG50UTNadkR1aGxSWDZvcXRoUk1rbGxJRUp2S3NqMU9CSWY3Y2ROb1h5QTVDbWlxOWlJbVJlSk9SejF4bHdnbk1oTGhHTWZmNTg1SXVtdmRaczQ3Ml82bWpvZmNxT0JOZmxzQVppZU9QdWk1R2F1Z29rS0ptTTRaQktoUmpRNmFPTE03dHNCblBhang2ZTlMM2ZjdTlLVU9OZG9kNWxBOTRTMzNDdldG0gGGAk

Forbes · 3d
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Republican Leads In Iowa, Democrat Ahead In Ohio Senate Races (Updated Daily)

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-gFBVV95cUxOdHV3emJ6YkVQd2F1Zk5xNklrTjZJTVp6SlMxS2p1UkE3bWl1dHRnUUdyVVNBZS1RMVBySGxDYmlNeEVIRnFJYU5BaVQxaTFoemtlSC1xSGItR2t5Q0tFUEdrUzB4SUVWcHR4R2V5TWZ3YXZ0SDFpYlBubldEWE9hWmlmelZQbkxmb0dKazdsNElYWDhRVVBodUZneWdiT2JHak1MdE1hUk9CU0twdmhWdnBXbmpmWmsyZDJMbDdSUVV1cUhmSTF2b3ZRUkxhbFV0TW82SGdWWElKZWROTzBjRFJUMlJLOXI2TnY4U0N1LVFWc25SWGJBZVNR?oc=5" target=

X Feed

CO
@CookPolitical · 10h

Last week, The Cook Political Report moved three Senate races, all towards Democrats. Read about those changes from @JessicaTaylor: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two

Open on X
DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

DDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

Trump won Kansas by 16 points in 2024. Democrats haven't won a Senate race there since 1932. But Democrat Adam Hamilton runs a hair ahead of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in DDHQ's new Kansas polling average. #KSSen

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CO
@CookPolitical · 2d

Read @ercovey's full story and see our latest race rating changes. https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/eighteen-more-house-race-ratings-move-democrats-favor

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

Leans Dem -> Toss Up 🟦Amy Acton - 59% 🟥Vivek Ramaswamy - 41% Ohio's Governor race is back in the Toss Up column. Democrat Amy Acton remains the favorite, and leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in our polling average by a margin of 4.2%.

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

DDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE Our polling average for Maine's gubernatorial race is live! Democrat Hannah Pingree leads Republican Bobby Charles by nearly a 12-point margin. The DDHQ Forecast rates this as Likely Democratic.

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 3d

The Senate overall is broadly a toss-up, although things have been trending toward Democrats. You can find the South Carolina forecast on DDHQ's VOTES portal here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/south-carolina-us-senate-general-election/forecast

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 3d

South Carolina is unexpectedly part of the larger Senate playing field. In DDHQ's forecast, Sen. Darline Graham (R) has a 7 in 10 chance of winning, making her a favorite to hold the seat for the GOP. But Democrat Annie Andrews has a shot at scoring an upset.

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.