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US Senate · SENATEFLS · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Florida Senate?

Showing: Angie Nixon · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Angie Nixon · 9% chance0Updated 4 min ago
Feeds just now · AI summary 52m ago

Forecast

15%11%7%
Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$903.2K
24h volume$8.3K
Open interest$725.3K
Days left388
Bid / ask9¢ / 9¢
Last9¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Ashley Moody91%0Yes 91¢ No 9¢
Angie Nixon9%0Yes 9¢ No 91¢

Why it moved AI

  • Sun Sentinel: Florida polls show Republicans leading Democrats in Senate race, though contests remain close.
  • Politico: Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz and fundraising for Nixon in Florida.
Generated from news and X posts below · 52m ago

News

The Hill · 2h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 3h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 8h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 10h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

The Hill · 1d
Democrats explode over Trump's Russia diesel deal

Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and the global marketplace. “I have just concluded...

Politico · 2d
Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz, fundraising for Nixon in Florida

The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

Forbes · 2d
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Jackson Leads In Maine, Hinson Ahead In Iowa (Updated Daily)

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-gFBVV95cUxQVEpVa2lyNnExT25LM0hjMmtqallxNXdDU25GZWZXWUg0WGd0Yi1WX1ctcG5FS0ZXQi1FSHRkMXNFVWktY3F0TjQ2YXRGY0tWdnBQeWZWVEVRUUc2QTd5T2NzbTdyWUpYZkUxV2h2Wk1kNERUZ1c0RUl0U2lFVU4yOXh6RVBicFdaeG5iWkJBQUJsNnpFT251Y3dScEg4TVBVa3JWdC1oNHNwSTFOVzdKak9iNmlDSmU2ZUJ0cFp1QjlNa2plR01PSG5uaVFGOE80SXZFM0plNjFPdGE4d1VDcVRNQ1ZXWDMtVkZSWXd5ZF8wbXJ3MDlMRDBB?oc=5" target=

X Feed

PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Senate Majority PAC (D) announces it’s starting to play in Kansas It’ll launch a $5 million TV campaign, from tomorrow through Election Day “The gap is closing in Kansas, and we are committed to ensuring families understand” Marshall’s record, an SMP spox says #KSSEN

Open on X
SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 2d

Senate Majority PAC newly going into KANSAS with $5 million via @baylisswagner https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/us/politics/adam-hamilton-roger-marshall-kansas-senate.html

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Scoop: Ken Paxton privately complained John Cornyn “wants me to lose,” as their years-long feud boils over in a high-stakes Senate race The latest leak from a Paxton fundraiser last month: https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/ken-paxton-audio-john-cornyn #TXSEN

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PA
@PatrickSvitek · 3d

Texas Forever, the Senate Majority PAC spinoff for #TXSEN, puts another $3.7 million in to the race, for a total of $5.8 million so far: https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00962308/2018469//se

Open on X
DA
@daveweigel · 3d

Progressives want Chris Van Hollen but all I’m saying is, if Dems win the senate they’ll be too busy crying tears of joy about Schumer recruiting Peltola to want a real leadership fight

Open on X
HE
@HenryJGomez · 3d

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will campaign with Abdul El-Sayed today ahead of his #MISen debate with Mike Rogers. Whitmer, who beat El-Sayed in the 2018 primary for governor, endorsed Stevens in this year’s Senate primary.

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 4d

#NC01: New internal poll from Democratic Rep. Don Davis has him up 47-39 on Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout (GQR; Sept. 29-Oct. 4; 500 LVs; +/-4%) https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Yt-bOVqBFd9cPU3A2R1_MuOpnluJwmJM/view?usp=sharing

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Rules

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.