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US Senate · SENATEMN · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Minnesota Senate?

Showing: Peggy Flanagan · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Peggy Flanagan · 87% chance▲ 1Updated 8 min ago
Feeds 6h ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

94%89%84%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$501.6K
24h volume$3.5K
Open interest$377.0K
Days left388
Bid / ask86¢ / 87¢
Last86¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Peggy Flanagan87%▲ 1Yes 87¢ No 13¢
Michele Tafoya14%0Yes 14¢ No 86¢

Why it moved AI

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Generated from news and X posts below

News

The Hill · 6h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 11h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 12h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

The Hill · 1d
Democrats explode over Trump's Russia diesel deal

Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and the global marketplace. “I have just concluded...

Politico · 2d
Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz, fundraising for Nixon in Florida

The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

X Feed

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Rules

If a representative of the Democratic (DFL) party is sworn in as a Senator of Minnesota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.