α
✦
US Senate · SENATENH · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the New Hampshire Senate?

Showing: John E. Sununu · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
John E. Sununu · 11% chance0Updated 7 min ago
Feeds 2h ago · AI summary 3h ago

Forecast

22%15%8%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.3M
24h volume$2.7K
Open interest$860.0K
Days left388
Bid / ask10¢ / 11¢
Last11¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Chris Pappas89%▲ 1Yes 89¢ No 11¢
John E. Sununu11%0Yes 11¢ No 89¢

Why it moved AI

  • The Hill: Pappas leads Sununu by 7 points in New Hampshire Senate race poll
  • Cook Political Report moves New Hampshire Senate race towards Democrats
  • CBS: Democrat Pappas calls NH race 'tough,' says taking nothing for granted
  • Rasmussen poll: Pappas 49%, Sununu closing gap from earlier double-digit deficit
Generated from news and X posts below · 3h ago

News

The Hill · 2h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 7h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 8h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 21h
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

The Hill · 1d
GOP lawmakers reject US-Russia diesel deal, Trump's Zelensky comments

Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration's Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needs a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said Friday he supported the president’s decision, but he doesn’t “support his decision to import it from Putin. Vladimir Putin is a butcher. He's a butcher...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

The Hill · 5d
Pappas leads Sununu by 7 points in New Hampshire Senate race: Poll

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE02dzFUcXhNcGlxU2lkWk9LMWlQbnRsdU9RUGU4MjBuUks3ZW9kZFFxSmVSZ2FuWVZhbXRCT2tKWmdIR29KeXZ2bzI4V2g2OGtTdHRXTTYxV3dldkd0cWV4VFpCMlEtaERnRXhMMkQzaGJxTmJoRWVfdWpQZ2FFRTjSAYQBQVVfeXFMUFNXM01mTUJndEJ1cVpWUng3eEZwZFJpUU16QVNtdnc4OXlCYWNPRlhMek1XS0Vtb1VxTWJrMTJkRzBfMWhaU0FqdW1scWFRZkxsb1gzcF84anpnUXExSS1lN0VTTDlFUkNDTUllb2I3R2s4czlfRnBSYXlkSU1ycHNYYm

X Feed

CO
@CookPolitical · 5d

Today, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races, all towards Democrats. • Kansas from Lean R -> Toss Up • North Carolina from Lean D -> Likely D • New Hampshire from Toss Up -> Lean D Read @JessicaTaylor's full analysis: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two

Open on X
MA
@magapolling · 6d

New Hampshire Poll | Rasmussen - 10/2 (LV) - This is good news for Sununu (R) - Pappas (D) was leading by double digits in early Sept. US Senate GE: Chris Pappas (D) 49% (+6) John Sununu (R) 44% Other: 3% Not Sure: 4% https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2026/election_2026_new_hampshire_senate2

Open on X
PI
@PinguinoLatin · 6d

Definitely still Cautiously Optimistic about the potential for a New Hampshire Senate Race Flip Ramussen just released a "Pappas +5" poll today that is a 6 point gain for John Sununu in just a single month from the previous "Pappas +11" poll Prediction: Tilt/Lean Democrat

Open on X
JE
@JeremiahW2044 · 6d

Sununu closes the gap by 6 points since the last poll‼️ The momentum is real‼️ Let’s flip New Hampshire 🟦➡️🟥‼️

Open on X
CA
@CalltoActivism · 13d

🚨MAJOR NEWS: Two brand new polls put Democrat Chris Pappas ahead of Republican John Sununu in the New Hampshire Senate race. UNH: 50%-42% NYT/Siena: 50%-45% In August UNH had Sununu up by 2. That’s a massive 10 point shift to Democrats in just ONE MONTH!

Open on X
PP
@PpollingNumbers · 13d

New - Senate poll - New Hampshire 🔵 Chris Pappas 47.4% 🔴 John Sununu 40.5% Trafalgar #B - LV - 9/27

Open on X

Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.