| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Brown | 60% | 0 | Yes 60¢ No 40¢ |
| Jon Husted | 41% | ▲ 1 | Yes 41¢ No 59¢ |
The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and the global marketplace. “I have just concluded...
 
GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.
The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
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Find our full forecast and polling averages on Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Ohio Senate 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 52% 🟥 Jon Husted: 48% Brown also leads by 2.6 points in the DDHQ polling average. Democrats need to flip four seats to win Senate control.
Open on XDecision Desk HQ Forecast (10/5): 🟦 Democrat Sherrod Brown: 51% 🟥 Republican Jon Husted: 49% Ohio is a coin flip, but Democrats are favored slightly. Democrats need to flip four seats for a Senate majority, and races this close are where that math gets settled.
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Generic Ballot 🟦Democrats: 48.8% 🟥Republicans: 40.9% With a lead of nearly 8 points, Democrats have a strong advantage in our polling average. Both the margin and the Democratic share are among the highest of the cycle.
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: North Carolina Senate 🟦 Roy Cooper: 49.6% 🟥 Michael Whatley: 40.5% No Republican has lost a Senate race in North Carolina since 2008. This race is seen as a must-win for Democrats. The DDHQ Forecast rates #NCSen as Likely Democratic.
Open on XIf a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.