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US Senate · SENATEOHS · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Ohio Senate?

Showing: Jon Husted · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Jon Husted · 41% chance▼ 1Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 9m ago · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

51%43%34%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$3.3M
24h volume$7.1K
Open interest$2.4M
Days left388
Bid / ask40¢ / 41¢
Last40¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Sherrod Brown60%0Yes 60¢ No 40¢
Jon Husted41%▼ 1Yes 41¢ No 59¢

Why it moved AI

  • Tight Ohio Senate race: Co/efficient shows Husted (R) 44%-Brown 43%; CNN/SSRS has Brown 49%-43%; YouGov Brown 49%-45% (@IAPolls2022, @BaselineNow)
  • GOP surges resources in tight Ohio US Senate race (Statehouse News Bureau)
  • Trump, Vance blitz Ohio; Vance campaigns to hold former seat (The Hill, Signal Ohio)
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

The Hill · 5h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 6h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 19h
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

The Hill · 21h
GOP lawmakers reject US-Russia diesel deal, Trump's Zelensky comments

Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration's Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needs a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said Friday he supported the president’s decision, but he doesn’t “support his decision to import it from Putin. Vladimir Putin is a butcher. He's a butcher...

Politico · 1d
Trump boosts a New York ally in a tough race

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.

Signal Ohio · 2d
Vice President JD Vance campaigns to keep his former U.S. Senate seat in Republican hands

Vice President JD Vance campaigns to keep his former U.S. Senate seat in Republican han

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

The Hill · 3d
Brown holds 6-point lead over Husted in Ohio Senate race survey

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxQemNsY0NJMUdFSTh1bXhsWWZFeHdEVUp1dXRSSzBrQVJ0bklJNHd1cnMzcnV4QWp6Sno3b3JsdzMwV0ZreDF4emRGLXJFZDBTemE0ZXU4bUpmTU1na05WemhiUGEzMFBLekpENkxwa2hpZzg0QS02dzVSZElPQUNwcdIBhgFBVV95cUxOM1RvdVlKSTNFVlNuV050dDRzM1lESXZreFVBQkswQ183VDF6aXBSblk4Z3VFNU92dW5mNXRUWnhkTkpzY3pWVzZqbkRkU3BGUkRMVFE2eUR4R0t5OUdib1pkcy1NYU82T3hreHhtazVsWnVDMFVTODMyb1U0OHFmd2

Ohio Capital Journal · 3d
As early voting in Ohio begins, Republicans try to reshape the data center narrative

As early voting in Ohio begins, Republicans try to reshape the

The Hill · 6d
Trump to campaign with Husted in Ohio

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxQd00xSWZzN1I2UFU5TnVEYXlaczBUXzVLcUFSMkZRd29OM2RuY0g3UjdTYk5xN291ZjNJOHRRRUI1M3F5UWlFaGtOYi04UmZRWTNxNEt6S2lfS2ZRWGJEY1RqeW5HZHdVcDFJTE5hNHBuNUI3NGZGUzEwdlM3cDdnazlOZ9IBiAFBVV95cUxQZDhocUdrQ2tFb1RZUXJKM09PSkNlS0pVb2lqT29rZ1BnSVNrWVRLTl9XQkNZTWYxNmtiZEc4d3lxY01aTlJubHJsUzR1ajktNm1qaVVFcjMyYzRYdDZ6QnN5Ymk4TWR0V0pqU2MtZHEwbFo4bUN6Zy1RODNhNX

X Feed

BA
@BaselineNow · 3d

U.S. Senate Ohio General Poll 🟥 Husted (R) 44% 🟦 Brown (D) 43% 🟨 Levy (L) 3% ⬜ Redpath (I) 1% co/efficient (R) (Oct 5–6, 925 LV)

Open on X
IA
@IAPolls2022 · 3d

Senate Polling — Co/Efficient (R) 🔴 Kansas - Marshall +5 🔴 Nebraska - Ricketts +5 🔴 Iowa - Hinson +4 🔴 Alaska - Sullivan +2 🔴 Maine - Collins +2 🔴 Ohio - Husted +1 🟡 New Hampshire - Tied 🟡 Michigan - Tied 🔵 Minnesota - Flanagan +1

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NE
@NewsNowUS · 3d

New - Senate poll - Ohio 🔴 Jon Husted 44% 🔵 Sherrod Brown 43% 🟡 Bill Redpath 1% Co/efficient (C+) - LV - 10/6

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NE
@NewsNowUS · 3d

New - Senate poll - Ohio 🔴 Jon Husted (Inc) 44% 🔵 Sherrod Brown 43% Co/efficient (C+) - LV - 10/6

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 3d

OHIO POLL By Co/efficient (R) SENATE 🟥 Jon Husted (inc): 44% 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 43% 🟨 Other: 4% —— GOVERNOR 🟥 Vivek Ramaswamy: 45% 🟦 Amy Acton: 43% 🟨 Other: 3% —— Generic Senate ballot 🟥 GOP: 45% 🟦 Dem: 45% 10/5–6 | 925 LV | R48/D37 https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/oh/

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 3d

OHIO POLL By CNN/SSRS SENATE 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 49% 🟥 Jon Husted (inc): 43% —— GOVERNOR 🟦 Amy Acton: 50% 🟥 Vivek Ramaswamy: 42% 9/29-10/5 | 801 LV https://edition.cnn.com/2026/10/08/politics/cnn-polls-ohio-iowa-senate-governor-midterms

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 4d

DDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Ohio Senate 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 52% 🟥 Jon Husted: 48% Brown also leads by 2.6 points in the DDHQ polling average. Democrats need to flip four seats to win Senate control.

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 5d

OHIO POLL By YouGov SENATE 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 49% 🟥 Jon Husted (inc): 45% —— GOVERNOR 🟦 Amy Acton: 48% 🟥 Vivek Ramaswamy: 44% Recall: Trump 53-43 | 9/18-30 | 3,780 LV https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_oh_20260921_lv.pdf

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 6d

Decision Desk HQ Forecast (10/5): 🟦 Democrat Sherrod Brown: 51% 🟥 Republican Jon Husted: 49% Ohio is a coin flip, but Democrats are favored slightly. Democrats need to flip four seats for a Senate majority, and races this close are where that math gets settled.

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 8d

Ohio Senate Polling by NYT/Siena (A+) June 🟥 Jon Husted: 50% 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 47% October 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 49% 🟥 Jon Husted: 46% 6 point swing towards Brown

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OP
@OpenSourceZone · 11d

Ohio Senate Portage County (Moreno +6) 🔴 Jon Husted: 48.3% 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 43.7% —— 2024 recall vote 🔴 Trump: 50.3% 🔵 Harris: 44.7%

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 12d

OHIO POLL - Senate 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 46.3% 🟥 Jon Husted (inc): 42.6% • @BIGDATAPOLL | 9/26-27 | 680 LV • 2024 recalled vote: Trump 53-43

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PO
@PollTracker2024 · 12d

Big Data Poll | released 9/28 US Senate Ohio 2026 (Likely voters) 🟦Sherrod Brown 46.9% 🟥Jon Husted 42.5% (incumbent) —— (Total voters) 🟦Sherrod Brown 45.7% 🟥Jon Husted 41.2% (incumbent)

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.