| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darline Graham | 86% | ▲ 1 | Yes 86¢ No 14¢ |
| Annie Andrews | 15% | ▲ 1 | Yes 15¢ No 85¢ |
A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAJBVV95cUxNaFlyRXo2RG5pZU1helY4aWhfV3ZHa25qZ2hkZm95eG5lY01iNkR3MTB4WGstRHZjV2VMMmh6OXhISlVjYkF3ZTFValVTcEtkR1dYYVBsV0tGcGhRclFJMFZhV0VSenp5di11WTk5cFNMTzBxZnBWZk5XQ3g0T1JOaXBTQTJ0dTB0eURNQW1HWUQ4RnpPa19aUndFUVlLWEdsZm84eWx1MzFQS1h1SEd5VlhOdHI5UGlZeV9oTDk2NnRWTXQ2UGZiYlJyRDYzX25mREt1SDEybWxTRXFfMnd4dWFzVExWci1DQ3M4WlFtdUV2aWpjRGdyWTltWFU5UXlQM2lmMi
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
Annie Andrews and Darline Graham set for critic
Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and the global marketplace. “I have just concluded...
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
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Trump uses anti-trans slur against Democratic Senate candidate in
DDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.
Open on XThe Senate overall is broadly a toss-up, although things have been trending toward Democrats. You can find the South Carolina forecast on DDHQ's VOTES portal here: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-11-03/south-carolina-us-senate-general-election/forecast
Open on XSouth Carolina is unexpectedly part of the larger Senate playing field. In DDHQ's forecast, Sen. Darline Graham (R) has a 7 in 10 chance of winning, making her a favorite to hold the seat for the GOP. But Democrat Annie Andrews has a shot at scoring an upset.
Open on XSenate political environment as of this morning: 9.1 point swing from 2024, implied national environment D+7.5. Steady as she goes here. A GOP turn hasn't happened. But Dems have also not gained this month.
Open on XModel update after Times/Siena: Dems at 63% to win the Senate, and 89% to win the House. GA: 🟦 95% NC: 🟦 95% NH: 🟦 89% MI: 🟦 79% MN: 🟦 79% TX: 🟦 73% OH: 🟦 67% AK: 🟦 67% ---TIPPING POINT--- ME: 🟦 59% IA: 🟥 51% KS: 🟥 68% NE: 🟥 79% SC: 🟥 79% https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/split-ticket-2026-midterms-model
Open on XThe NYT dropped 5 major Senate polls this morning — and they’re a window into why the GOP is freaking out about the Senate. Alaska: Peltola up 50/43 Texas: Talarico up 51/45 Ohio: Brown up 49/46 Kansas: a 45/45 tie Iowa: Hinson up 48/47.
Open on XFox News releases two new polls. —Iowa: Josh Turek (D) up 49/47 for Senate. —Texas: James Talarico (D) up 51/49 for Senate. That's among likely voters. Striking (and against CW?), Dems lead by more among registered voters: Talarico +7, Turek +4.
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Generic Ballot 🟦Democrats: 48.8% 🟥Republicans: 40.9% With a lead of nearly 8 points, Democrats have a strong advantage in our polling average. Both the margin and the Democratic share are among the highest of the cycle.
Open on XIn the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.
Open on XIf a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.