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US Senate · SENATESC · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the South Carolina Senate?

Showing: Darline Graham · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Darline Graham · 86% chance▲ 1Updated just now
Feeds just now · AI summary 49m ago

Forecast

93%88%83%
Jul 17Oct 6Oct 11

Stats

Volume$982.8K
24h volume$53.2K
Open interest$619.4K
Days left388
Bid / ask85¢ / 86¢
Last86¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Darline Graham86%▲ 1Yes 86¢ No 14¢
Annie Andrews15%▲ 1Yes 15¢ No 85¢

Why it moved AI

  • SC Senate candidates to debate as early voting nears (WPDE)
  • Annie Andrews and Darline Graham set for critical US Senate debate (Post and Courier)
Generated from news and X posts below · 49m ago

News

The Hill · 1h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 3h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

WPDE · 5h
SC Senate candidates to face off in debate as early voting nears

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswJBVV95cUxOaFFHWDgtZk1EcHgwR0g2U19iZVZRXy03YW5vOUJ4Y3l3Y3FmcUFxRTZlMkl6RUdZcUE5WXNUNVZWdWRua0dONzlSX1o0Y0J0NjZRbGNKTmZiVHlWVDl3cEhjdDZnb3FQaDRSeTRvaWN5Qi0wZ1lLSk4yT0hiSXRUSWl4R1lkWFdqZklTLVNmcF9BaWhHTFk5MjE0czdUSDJxd19wQnpmMzhtTVZzdUxtemVGYjVZaWlQU0cyQXF6UEF2bjBuODZfaUwya1k3VXVidks1ZGtzdEFTYjRvYnc2cUtRLXhaTmpRMjZFalFPU3dWMkJkMHFvaF9rWGE3LURTZ0RSX2

The Hill · 8h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 10h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Post and Courier · 15h
Annie Andrews and Darline Graham set for critical US Senate debate. How to watch and what to expect.

Annie Andrews and Darline Graham set for critic

Politico · 23h
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

The Hill · 1d
GOP lawmakers reject US-Russia diesel deal, Trump's Zelensky comments

Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration's Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needs a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said Friday he supported the president’s decision, but he doesn’t “support his decision to import it from Putin. Vladimir Putin is a butcher. He's a butcher...

Politico · 2d
Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz, fundraising for Nixon in Florida

The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.

PBS · 2d
WATCH LIVE: Graham set to debate Senate challengers Andrews, Whitener in South Carolina

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxOQzZNVmltczZXQlVnei1NeU9mY09Td1R2bW4wRjhaUklPQjJURXd6a1FZcmVkMkNoOEI3VnI4a3lZR3hsbjhabFotazNGSjh6M3NDVkVYdzlwYVpqbWtDdHFjMWs1a2g0YlhKeVJRbElHS3JUWHpud19QOTcycmtXRlh2SnFFeWsyV2p0SHU0SVVSLUxUSWFFRkZBNUE5and4UFRySjI2NjR4bFRERVpacWlhdVFTbzRGTHVOY2ZlckPSAcYBQVVfeXFMT1ZnT3VVWlIyeHliVEdIM3JhaXA1eF94VnZvVHlFN05nazZVa0QwaUFPRWtJSU9OUXpiLVJZZTkyM1

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

Greenville Online · 2d
SC Senate debate nears as Graham, Andrews enter final stretch

SC Senate debate nears as Gr

X Feed

PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Senate Majority PAC (D) announces it’s starting to play in Kansas It’ll launch a $5 million TV campaign, from tomorrow through Election Day “The gap is closing in Kansas, and we are committed to ensuring families understand” Marshall’s record, an SMP spox says #KSSEN

Open on X
SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 2d

Senate Majority PAC newly going into KANSAS with $5 million via @baylisswagner https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/us/politics/adam-hamilton-roger-marshall-kansas-senate.html

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

A Paxton adviser said the leak is “a story that doesn’t exist” but noted Paxton “has called, texted, and offered to have a conversation with Senator Cornyn.” “We hope he will join us in our fight to preserve the institution that is the United States Senate and help save our majority.” https://t.co/PaqEUIEyot #TXSEN

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PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Scoop: Ken Paxton privately complained John Cornyn “wants me to lose,” as their years-long feud boils over in a high-stakes Senate race The latest leak from a Paxton fundraiser last month: https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/ken-paxton-audio-john-cornyn #TXSEN

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PA
@PatrickSvitek · 3d

Texas Forever, the Senate Majority PAC spinoff for #TXSEN, puts another $3.7 million in to the race, for a total of $5.8 million so far: https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00962308/2018469//se

Open on X
DA
@daveweigel · 3d

Progressives want Chris Van Hollen but all I’m saying is, if Dems win the senate they’ll be too busy crying tears of joy about Schumer recruiting Peltola to want a real leadership fight

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HE
@HenryJGomez · 3d

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will campaign with Abdul El-Sayed today ahead of his #MISen debate with Mike Rogers. Whitmer, who beat El-Sayed in the 2018 primary for governor, endorsed Stevens in this year’s Senate primary.

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PA
@PatrickSvitek · 4d

#NC01: New internal poll from Democratic Rep. Don Davis has him up 47-39 on Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout (GQR; Sept. 29-Oct. 4; 500 LVs; +/-4%) https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Yt-bOVqBFd9cPU3A2R1_MuOpnluJwmJM/view?usp=sharing

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.