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Space · KXSTARSHIPMARS · Resolves Jan 1, 2030

Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?

Showing: Before 2030 · Resolves Jan 1, 2030
Before 2030 · 15% chance▼ 2Updated just now
Feeds just now · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

18%14%9%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$53.7K
24h volume$17
Open interest$10.3K
Days left1178
Bid / ask13¢ / 17¢
Last17¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceX scrubbed SDA satellite launch (Spaceflight Now)
  • Falcon 3 missions/4 landings in 13 hours advances reusability for Mars (@GlasgowPam)
  • Orbital flight milestone for crewed Mars missions (WBFF)
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 7d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="

Moneycontrol.com · 13d
SpaceX Starship targets first orbital flight today: Elon Musk’s giant rocket takes aim at Moon, Mars...

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-gFBVV95cUxQcnk3cDlBQ0QxaEY5cERybVJhNXEzT1JCbDFoQzIzd0lQWGNveUtndEJ0VlkwQ1hRTUl3Yk5TN3YxUlVSdGRlOVNxbTJ5VTl6SkFCTXZ4c0k1UE4xcFhlLVlFTGkyamVDTVdqYWgxdGxDMEtHUE03VVkta1dCNm5ZRndiRmU1bUhBVnFDci1PTFhxNlJLeWJKU3ZuaktVek9ERWdMbGJKRzlxaEtjbWtGd01TeTdjU1ozRkJYWkRGZXJfaHhHVWREZ0NGY3NGTC1fQWxEM0J3aWxZSzdCcy1VNXVhRG5VY2RscVFlT1Znc0tzLWMxZ2VDLWZ30gH_AUFVX3lxTE

The Economic Times · 13d
SpaceX Starship targets first orbital flight as Musk pushes rocket towards Moon, Mars

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi_AFBVV95cUxPV2cxOTIzSFNfN1dndTFOWWNsaG0wZGhkY0gzaURvenkzZ0VzVDc5UFNDaERNaXZQX01sVTBMbzhsNm5zN0JLMUhhUXdDRVlHN3Vja3c5V2NFMzFNX0V3Y01FeGZ6OWVRSndTcnB4WDhtVVh6NjE1amw1X1lUd1M3a1BmNXhNbnNWbG8tMHlFZ2pGRE5ZYjVMdTduOThMSEtlTEpCTUFQQVBjWVVRRmVHYlgzLV9DNVNCZjVSTmdnRThGMjMtOEp0Z1BpUXJWRFVLSHNuWTBkYmVMQXF6ZXdXQWtOX1kxZnJQU2gwYWI2V3JoeG5VckxxRVBBek3SAYICQVVfeX

X Feed

EX
@Exogynous · 5d

Oh dear. Hard to find such a vacuous information gap as this. Starship launches 14 times. Falcon, the workhorse of space launch launches, launched successfully 319 times, 4 of which were Falcon Heavy. NASA is sending its precious science missions on Falcon Heavy because nobody else is able to send them right now. ULA is screwed and BO is double screwed. Even to this day Crew Dragon is the only way NASA gets to the space station without begging the Russians for a ride. Whilst NASA is still faffing around with SLS and Artemis, SpaceX is going to operationalise Starship and start building a manufacturing base on the Moon whilst also sending unmanned missions to Mars. Anyone can hate all they want. But they also need to recognise reality, not fabricate it to match their hate.

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GL
@GlasgowPam · 6d

We may have just witnessed the peak of the Falcon family of rockets. 3 missions, in less than 13 hours, 4 booster landings and a crew docking to station. Incredible! Falcon is winding down as Starship ramps up. Congrats on a HUGE day. Don't forget, Starship just launched Monday!

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MA
@matijagav · 6d

Another Falcon 9 night launch for @SemperCitiusSDA 🚀 The launch cadence is unreal, and every flight builds the reusability that will one day take Starship to Mars. 🔴

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MA
@_MaxQ_ · 9d

Hat trick: complete SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy rocket passes the moon as they complete their third mission of the day, NROL-97, from their third Falcon launch facility. The trifecta of Crew-13, Transporter 18, and NROL-97 supplement the launch of Starship’s 14th flight this past Monday, meaning SpaceX has launched their entire fleet from all sites this week alone, before Friday. Unbelievable testament to all teams involved and the advances made in both Falcon and Starship programs across the country. 📸 - @NASASpaceflight NSF Live Coverage:

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ER
@Erdayastronaut · 9d

We may have just witnessed the peak of the Falcon family of rockets. 3 missions, in less than 13 hours, 4 booster landings and a crew docking to station. Incredible! Falcon is winding down as Starship ramps up. Congrats on a HUGE day. Don't forget, Starship just launched Monday!

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 11d

Starship's launched, but there's a bunch of big missions to come, including a crew launch to the ISS and a Falcon Heavy on the same day! By Eleanor Day (@elliedayxo) https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/launch-preview-092926/

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Rules

If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.