| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 22% | 0 | Yes 22¢ No 78¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 14% | 0 | Yes 14¢ No 86¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 5% | ▲ 1 | Yes 5¢ No 95¢ |
| Before September | 50% | ▲ 49 | Yes 50¢ No 50¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 2% | 0 | Yes 2¢ No 98¢ |
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Recent UAP releases and NASA comments 1278 sustain interest without evidence of alien confirmation, while official denials from AARO/NASA 1 and geopolitical pressures 36 keep short-term odds low (1¢ for Oct/Nov) but buoy longer horizons (14¢ Jan 2028, 22¢ Jan 2029) amid whistleblower/testimony buzz 4. No resolution-altering proof emerged.
NASA and AARO confirm no verifiable evidence of extraterrestrials despite UAP reports, reducing odds of imminent official confirmation.
NASA head open to extraterrestrial UAP but cites natural/human explanations, signaling no confirmation yet.
Rep. Burlison warns of rivals disclosing UFO evidence first, pressuring US but no domestic confirmation.
Potential congressional testimony on 2025 orbs could advance disclosure but remains unverified.
US officials prepare for UFO/extraterrestrial confirmation, implying no actual confirmation occurred.
Lawmaker highlights UFO transparency risks vs rivals, suggesting competition over potential alien tech.
NASA admin calls UAP a possible 'Sputnik moment' but ties to adversaries, not confirming aliens.
Sixth UAP document release includes unexplained lights, but no extraterrestrial confirmation.