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US Senate · KXMISENATE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)?

Showing: Abdul El-Sayed · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Abdul El-Sayed · 68% chance▲ 1Updated 5 min ago
Feeds 2m ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

78%65%51%
Jul 30Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$955.1K
24h volume$6.9K
Open interest$517.8K
Days left388
Bid / ask67¢ / 68¢
Last68¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Abdul El-Sayed68%▲ 1Yes 68¢ No 32¢
Mike Rogers33%0Yes 33¢ No 67¢
Mallory McMorrow1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Haley Stevens1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

The Hill · 4h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 6h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 6h
El-Sayed addresses past Obama criticism, says Democrats now ‘stand on the shoulders of giants’

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxPM21Hc0FjZzlWVVVvWnhfaWhpNFV2cGZOdmoyWXVVWWZnNWp3UkhDUVRkWXRyY0J2UVJlWVYyMkplRFFvMXVnaEh2ZC1aY0Q0YzZ3TWtzMkR4TTZmSHJGcVBJb3NtdTJsWkNOcjM5eDJEWVR1TnZQckN2Zk1XUnB3bkVBRdIBiAFBVV95cUxNTGd5VEE0LW9vZWZRZnBiWGZENWtWUnQ2eEt1a0hHMVdieDV3MEh1WElvanVFZkhWMzRqaWRrM0I4OXltQlZXZkgxMWFwV21WNkZISE9WTVBpeGRuY3dpMVJQQTVMQnZ5VERKemdjdzRhb3RicXltLVlBSG5HRE

The Independent · 6h
‘Mohammed el-Sayed’: Trump says he can change name of ‘jihadist’ Michigan Senate candidate

‘Mohammed el-Sayed’: Trump says he can change name of ‘jihadist’ Michigan S

The Hill · 12h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

9and10News.com · 1d
U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed holds rally at packed State Theater in Traverse City

U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed holds rally at packed State

Fox News · 1d
Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed jokes that Michigan football can't win without cheating

Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed jokes that Michi

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

NBC News · 3d
Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Michigan Senate debate

Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Mi

X Feed

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Rules

If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes.

The listed candidate must win the election as the nominee of the listed party. If the candidate fails to secure the nomination, this market resolves to No immediately. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.