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US Senate · KXMISENATE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)?

Showing: Mike Rogers · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Mike Rogers · 33% chance▼ 1Updated 8 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

42%34%25%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.2M
24h volume$15.9K
Open interest$836.6K
Days left388
Bid / ask32¢ / 33¢
Last32¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Abdul El-Sayed68%▲ 3Yes 68¢ No 32¢
Mike Rogers33%▼ 1Yes 33¢ No 67¢
Mallory McMorrow1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Haley Stevens1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

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Generated from news and X posts below

News

The Hill · 2h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 8h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

AL.com · 2d
Trump claims ‘Jihadist lunatic’ lost Michigan Senate debate. What do the polls say?

Trump claims ‘Jihadist lunatic’ lost Michigan Senate debate. What do the

The Hill · 2d
Michigan Senate debate goes off the rails: 4 takeaways

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwFBVV95cUxPNEFYLVZ3aTVFT2hKVTR5cnRsWjdHXzd3QVMtNlB3M05rQUtXRWRETEU1c1BVU2dXSVV2anBsMkZkSXRLamozT2tIdlVJZU1tYWZ4aDdKRGQxVnAxcWxHbEtVb3hZVGNtb1hsNkF6ZHRkTk5UcmRXRkQyN01YRDdscGZmZVp1ZUtIbkRHQjAydjNCbjgwRkhCX3ExONIBoAFBVV95cUxQaUJBRjRZd3FaMEFycTdZM21ZRUpfRGp1UEJ0YktGTDJkNF84UnlMZXBlRFZtREtLZHIzbkJaN2l6Z3VyRDVVblJpRmRlMXZCaTBIRk5VRkpuVUZnSjlJejlrSVJCZW

NBC News · 2d
Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Michigan Senate debate

Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Mi

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If Mike Rogers wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes.

The listed candidate must win the election as the nominee of the listed party. If the candidate fails to secure the nomination, this market resolves to No immediately. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.