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US Senate · KXMISENATE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)?

Showing: Mike Rogers · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Mike Rogers · 33% chance0Updated just now
Feeds 29m ago · AI summary 2h ago

Forecast

38%32%25%
Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.2M
24h volume$14.6K
Open interest$836.6K
Days left388
Bid / ask32¢ / 33¢
Last33¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Abdul El-Sayed68%▲ 1Yes 68¢ No 32¢
Mike Rogers33%0Yes 33¢ No 67¢
Mallory McMorrow1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Haley Stevens1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • NYT and Guardian highlight key moments from hostile Michigan Senate debate between El-Sayed and Rogers.
  • Trump claims ‘Jihadist lunatic’ lost Michigan Senate debate, AL.com reports.
  • Whitmer campaigns with El-Sayed ahead of #MISen debate, @HenryJGomez notes.
Generated from news and X posts below · 2h ago

News

The Hill · 3h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 5h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 11h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

AL.com · 2d
Trump claims ‘Jihadist lunatic’ lost Michigan Senate debate. What do the polls say?

Trump claims ‘Jihadist lunatic’ lost Michigan Senate debate. What do the

The Hill · 3d
Michigan Senate debate goes off the rails: 4 takeaways

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwFBVV95cUxPNEFYLVZ3aTVFT2hKVTR5cnRsWjdHXzd3QVMtNlB3M05rQUtXRWRETEU1c1BVU2dXSVV2anBsMkZkSXRLamozT2tIdlVJZU1tYWZ4aDdKRGQxVnAxcWxHbEtVb3hZVGNtb1hsNkF6ZHRkTk5UcmRXRkQyN01YRDdscGZmZVp1ZUtIbkRHQjAydjNCbjgwRkhCX3ExONIBoAFBVV95cUxQaUJBRjRZd3FaMEFycTdZM21ZRUpfRGp1UEJ0YktGTDJkNF84UnlMZXBlRFZtREtLZHIzbkJaN2l6Z3VyRDVVblJpRmRlMXZCaTBIRk5VRkpuVUZnSjlJejlrSVJCZW

NBC News · 3d
Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Michigan Senate debate

Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Mi

X Feed

SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 1d

TRY YOUR HAND: Can you construct a Senate majority? Gift link 🎁: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/08/us/elections/senate-races-midterms-battleground-states.html?unlocked_article_code=1.HlE.yOPO.flYx6SKu38Bb&smid=url-share

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Senate Majority PAC (D) announces it’s starting to play in Kansas It’ll launch a $5 million TV campaign, from tomorrow through Election Day “The gap is closing in Kansas, and we are committed to ensuring families understand” Marshall’s record, an SMP spox says #KSSEN

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SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 2d

Senate Majority PAC newly going into KANSAS with $5 million via @baylisswagner https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/us/politics/adam-hamilton-roger-marshall-kansas-senate.html

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PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Scoop: Ken Paxton privately complained John Cornyn “wants me to lose,” as their years-long feud boils over in a high-stakes Senate race The latest leak from a Paxton fundraiser last month: https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/ken-paxton-audio-john-cornyn #TXSEN

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HE
@HenryJGomez · 2d

“Weak, cowardly, won’t stand up until his poll numbers drop.” “We cannot afford Abdul.” “I’d like to be a part of the debate, too.” El-Sayed and Rogers tangle as moderator Rick Albin tries to get a word in edgewise in a raucous #MISEN debate. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/sparks-fly-abdul-el-sayed-mike-rogers-first-michigan-senate-debate-rcna599866

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HE
@HenryJGomez · 3d

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will campaign with Abdul El-Sayed today ahead of his #MISen debate with Mike Rogers. Whitmer, who beat El-Sayed in the 2018 primary for governor, endorsed Stevens in this year’s Senate primary.

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Rules

If Mike Rogers wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes.

The listed candidate must win the election as the nominee of the listed party. If the candidate fails to secure the nomination, this market resolves to No immediately. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.