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US Senate · KXMISENATE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)?

Showing: Haley Stevens · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Haley Stevens · 1% chance0Updated just now
Feeds just now · AI summary 4h ago

Forecast

5%3%0%
Sep 13Oct 5Oct 11

Stats

Volume$188.0K
24h volume$0
Open interest$99.7K
Days left388
Bid / ask0¢ / 1¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Abdul El-Sayed68%▲ 1Yes 68¢ No 32¢
Mike Rogers33%▼ 2Yes 33¢ No 67¢
Mallory McMorrow1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢
Haley Stevens1%0Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers traded attacks in first Michigan Senate debate (PBS, NBC News)
  • Gov. Gretchen Whitmer campaigns with Abdul El-Sayed ahead of #MISen debate (@HenryJGomez)
Generated from news and X posts below · 4h ago

News

The Hill · 4h
Top Senate Republican calls Guilfoyle reports ‘very troubling’

Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), the Senate Majority Whip, on Sunday expressed concern about the recent reporting on U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle and her finances. “Well, what we've seen in the reports is very troubling. It's concerning. And I'm sure there's going to be an investigation. I would assume the State Department would be...

The Hill · 8h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 10h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 16h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

NBC News · 3d
Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Michigan Senate debate

Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Mi

The Washington Post · Sep 17
We polled Michigan’s Senate race. There’s good and bad news for Democrats.

We polled Michigan’s Senate race. There’s good and ba

C-SPAN · Aug 4
Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Haley Stevens Primary Night Remarks

Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Haley Stevens Prim

X Feed

SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 1d

TRY YOUR HAND: Can you construct a Senate majority? Gift link 🎁: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/08/us/elections/senate-races-midterms-battleground-states.html?unlocked_article_code=1.HlE.yOPO.flYx6SKu38Bb&smid=url-share

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Senate Majority PAC (D) announces it’s starting to play in Kansas It’ll launch a $5 million TV campaign, from tomorrow through Election Day “The gap is closing in Kansas, and we are committed to ensuring families understand” Marshall’s record, an SMP spox says #KSSEN

Open on X
SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 2d

Senate Majority PAC newly going into KANSAS with $5 million via @baylisswagner https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/us/politics/adam-hamilton-roger-marshall-kansas-senate.html

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Scoop: Ken Paxton privately complained John Cornyn “wants me to lose,” as their years-long feud boils over in a high-stakes Senate race The latest leak from a Paxton fundraiser last month: https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/ken-paxton-audio-john-cornyn #TXSEN

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 3d

Texas Forever, the Senate Majority PAC spinoff for #TXSEN, puts another $3.7 million in to the race, for a total of $5.8 million so far: https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00962308/2018469//se

Open on X
HE
@HenryJGomez · 3d

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will campaign with Abdul El-Sayed today ahead of his #MISen debate with Mike Rogers. Whitmer, who beat El-Sayed in the 2018 primary for governor, endorsed Stevens in this year’s Senate primary.

Open on X
SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 8d

A month out and some very good Senate poll for Democrats in red states https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/us/senate-polls-texas-kansas-ohio-alaska-iowa.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share

Open on X

Rules

If Haley Stevens wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race, then the market resolves to Yes.

The listed candidate must win the election as the nominee of the listed party. If the candidate fails to secure the nomination, this market resolves to No immediately. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.