| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 57% | ▲ 1 | Yes 57¢ No 43¢ |
| China | 31% | 0 | Yes 31¢ No 69¢ |
| India | 1% | 0 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
| European Space Agency | 0% | 0 | Yes 0¢ No 100¢ |
| Russia | 1% | ▲ 1 | Yes 1¢ No 99¢ |
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Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti
<img width="1024" height="768" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?w=200
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgJBVV95cUxPa2c5Y1dkeElWZU9IcHlQN0lxS2tLWFM3SEx0d0wtdHdTQjAyTmhLYy1Ka0l0Sy16eWxoak1aWEY5SGw0ZnZORVpZejhxS1d5UHJlVGNaQnl6ODMzRWprZ0J3bzhDT19icmEwUE9pS1pTV09QQXRRWGlxZGswTXVaTjV6cVNpeUlNMWJSN19IdW40YVpCNmRaYk84M2RMdVNBSWJtRGFMTlotejh1RlFkbXB2Q1lSM21KeVNyc0hVMnhPckh2MVFfNVRscE9BbFFrUEtxM2h1RXkxWjNpNVF1TWRHUlMtZGM3ajduUUJ3Zm1XaFpFUkFjMXduVGxIVHpzNlBOMm
Meet the 43 leaders and accomplishments that exemplified excellence across the industry over the last 12 months The post Announcing the finalists for the 2026 SpaceNews Icon Awards appeared first on SpaceNews.
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi9gFBVV95cUxOQmdRTkhBWVpfODc0TlZHWUF5NFY4UXVSanhBNlk0dW90b0d0Nm9yeTdHaGJZU2Fzb0lFQVJ3bVBpZ1dtZlBWOE1fVWIyc0ZMN1Z1NzExSzd2OVUzX0hGNFNLQzFjenFKREtkNHRhcDZHcEhxb012QXNlalRtbG5mQl85WUNJR0lmQWlYZTdBQnQwanJKdF8ycVJ5ZzFJMGUzalRvaGZpQk9fUXpHYk9aRDFFZ3FBOGVIMUVDR0xIdnB2aE15QlAySXF5czJOMWRPLUUzbUlfUC10c2h4NUhPMGRWZlBmRFc1S0tfZ3F4YUV6STdiaGfSAfsBQVVfeXFMTl9xWG
The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s
The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).
Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=
The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="
<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxPc2J3SmJKNTNiUWIyaVkyN1RqSjlLUjBNdDlpMUZBWDNway1KWWdZNmduTUhiODZzTmtWdG1IYW5GcWRRZWo0MzVoM2Y0QzZkSDhMTEM0bllhVGRaNUNhSnBCT2dZVFVwQkhzdHJSZ3l3UmtKcEU0X1VTLWNzVlNhWndneUtOeE00Wkc5LXJ5aUZqb3prdkpQVENSYlFSbUp2U1Z3QVQ1MWhNTm5OcXVrb0RJN1lOUdIBuwFBVV95cUxNWmhxeV9pUEs5bWQ4S3pIWTJZVkJLYzUyWGVEWlpHbll4eUNvdTlGekplQ0thQUZodlMteWl2ekJLQS00bjk4LW9pd2
No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).
If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.