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Space · KXSPACEXCOUNT · Resolves Jan 7, 2027

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Showing: Above 145 · Resolves Jan 7, 2027
Above 145 · 21% chance▲ 3Updated 12 min ago
Feeds 43m ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

25%20%15%
Oct 11

Stats

Volume$21.8K
24h volume$48
Open interest$15.7K
Days left82
Bid / ask20¢ / 21¢
Last19¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 12099%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 14061%▼ 4Yes 61¢ No 39¢
Above 14521%▲ 3Yes 21¢ No 79¢
Above 1506%0Yes 6¢ No 94¢
Above 1804%▼ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1605%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 1904%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2102%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 2003%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 1704%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

Spaceflight Now · 2d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 3d
What will it take to build a moon base?

<img width="1024" height="768" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/space-minds-podcast-jhu-moon-2000-1500.jpg?w=200

SpaceNews · 4d
Announcing the finalists for the 2026 SpaceNews Icon Awards

<img width="1024" height="768" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2025-icon-awards-Purdy.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/2025-icon-awards-Purdy.jpg?w=2000&ssl=1 2000w, https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

Amazon wants more than 5,000 satellites in orbit. Blue Origin has proposed another 5,400. Chinese companies have filed plans encompassing vastly more. Elon Musk has talked about a constellation numbering […] The post Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconst

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 7d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="

SpaceX · 13d
Starship Flight 14
Florida Today · Dec 18
SpaceX targets Dec. 28 Starlink mission for Florida's 110th launch of year

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi_wFBVV95cUxOekFqZ25mU1NfVkJYTkRBQ3liRzV5TWdES2YwSEZ1V1hxU3dFSGI1ZVFHWXNnaTNxTVFzRjdEYVp1NUM0NE94SmYtRTdpbkZrTDlvQ005aE5ONkJuT19hZ3pjb0V2NGpNVXZmTnoxdk5KaWJROFJfQjVsbGhqdU9pNEdWWTNubTZjWTY4NjFiVllmWGxoT2YxMVpqeEJZc1JQLXQzMUxqajUtS0NOR1Z2Z2dVVlhuNjJDNFRHaHNzLVdjc2wwUk9VeDlpYWhqSmpBdS1OWC1jLWZGTkxabnh6MVBIeU1HNmctNHk3V3pnY2V5UGpPLU9mMWpycWs2blU?oc=5"

X Feed

SS
@Space_Station · 3h

New science, supplies, and roll-out solar arrays are targeted to launch aboard a @SpaceX Dragon at 6:33 a.m. EDT on Tuesday. Expedition 75 is scheduled to receive the space delivery at 11 a.m. Wednesday. More... https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-sets-coverage-for-spacex-35th-station-resupply-launch-arrival/

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SP
@SpacesFuture · 3d

↕️ Next SpaceX 🦅 Falcon ⭐ Starship Launches 🗓️ Oct CREW13 ☑️¹' Transporter-18 ☑️⁴"' NROL97 FH-14 ☑️³" CREW12 🐉🪂🌊☑️ SDA T1TLA (BCE) 🔲⁵"' 15-25⁹ 🔲²"' CRS35 🔲⁶' USSF481 🔲⁷"'🆕 _ ^https://www.spacex.com/launches/ ⁰https://www.spacex.com/launches/ussf481 ⁷https://t.co/2GJeztpnfe ⁰🖼️⁷🖼️

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CD
@cb_doge · 9d

SpaceX launched five missions in the last six days. • Sep 26 — USSF-385, Falcon 9 • Sep 28 — Starship Flight 14 • Oct 1 — Crew-13, Falcon 9 • Oct 1 — Transporter-18, Falcon 9 • Oct 1 — NROL-97, Falcon Heavy Three of them launched in less than 13 hours.

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ER
@Erdayastronaut · 9d

We may have just witnessed the peak of the Falcon family of rockets. 3 missions, in less than 13 hours, 4 booster landings and a crew docking to station. Incredible! Falcon is winding down as Starship ramps up. Congrats on a HUGE day. Don't forget, Starship just launched Monday!

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NA
@NASASpaceflight · 12d

Starship's launched, but there's a bunch of big missions to come, including a crew launch to the ISS and a Falcon Heavy on the same day! By Eleanor Day (@elliedayxo) https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2026/09/launch-preview-092926/

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ER
@EricLDaugh · 13d

🔥 AWESOME! Elon Musk's SpaceX just LAUNCHED from Texas the Starship megarocket — its first-ever orbital test flight The booster successfully SPLASHED DOWN in the Gulf of America 👏🏻 It's headed straight into orbit and is carrying Starlink V3 internet satellites

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Rules

If SpaceX has more than 145 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.