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Space · KXSPACEXCOUNT · Resolves 1/7/2027

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

21%▲ 3Updated 2 min agoKalshi Yes · Above 145
Feeds 48m · summary never

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$21.8K
24h volume$48
Open interest$15.7K
Days left82
Bid / ask20¢ / 21¢
Last19¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 12099%▲ 1Yes 99¢ No 1¢
Above 14062%▼ 3Yes 62¢ No 38¢
Above 14521%▲ 3Yes 21¢ No 79¢
Above 1507%▲ 1Yes 7¢ No 93¢
Above 1804%▼ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1605%0Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 1904%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 1704%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 2003%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 2102%0Yes 2¢ No 98¢

Why it moved AI

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Generated from news and X posts below

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency - Spaceflight Now

SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency  Spaceflight Now

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC).

KTLA · 1d
Midnight SpaceX launch could bring loud sonic booms to Southern California - KTLA

Midnight SpaceX launch could bring loud sonic booms to Southern California  KTLA

Houston Public Media · 3d
NASA’s SpaceX Crew-12 returns to Earth after nearly eight months in space - Houston Public Media

NASA’s SpaceX Crew-12 returns to Earth after nearly eight months in space  Houston Public Media

NASA (.gov) · 3d
NASA Sets Coverage for SpaceX 35th Station Resupply Launch, Arrival - NASA (.gov)

NASA Sets Coverage for SpaceX 35th Station Resupply Launch, Arrival  NASA (.gov)

Star Walk · 4d
Starlink Tracker: How to Find Starlink Satellites Tonight - Star Walk

Starlink Tracker: How to Find Starlink Satellites Tonight  Star Walk

SpaceNews · 5d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

Amazon wants more than 5,000 satellites in orbit. Blue Origin has proposed another 5,400. Chinese companies have filed plans encompassing vastly more. Elon Musk has talked about a constellation numbering […] The post Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconst

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday.

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT.

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

SpaceX · 13d
Starship Flight 14 - SpaceX

Starship Flight 14  SpaceX

SQ Magazine · Jul 26
SpaceX Statistics 2026: Launches, Starlink, Revenue & Contracts - SQ Magazine

SpaceX Statistics 2026: Launches, Starlink, Revenue & Contracts  SQ Magazine

Broadband Breakfast · Jul 25
SpaceX Launches Starship on Another Test Flight, This Time With the Most Advanced Starlink Satellites - Broadband Breakfast

SpaceX Launches Starship on Another Test Flight, This Time With the Most Advanced Starlink Satellites  Broadband Breakfast

The Desert Sun · Jan 2
SpaceX plans 1st California rocket launch of 2026. How to watch livestream - The Desert Sun

SpaceX plans 1st California rocket launch of 2026. How to watch livestream  The Desert Sun

Florida Today · Dec 18
SpaceX targets Dec. 28 Starlink mission for Florida's 110th launch of year - Florida Today

SpaceX targets Dec. 28 Starlink mission for Florida's 110th launch of year  Florida Today

Space · Dec 17
SpaceX launches Starlink missions in dual-coast spaceflight doubleheader (videos) - Space

SpaceX launches Starlink missions in dual-coast spaceflight doubleheader (videos)  Space

Ventura County Star · Dec 15
At least 1 more California rocket launch planned in December. See schedule - Ventura County Star

At least 1 more California rocket launch planned in December. See schedule  Ventura County Star

edhat · Dec 5
Weekend Falcon 9 Launch Scheduled From California as SpaceX Continues Starlink Rollout - edhat

Weekend Falcon 9 Launch Scheduled From California as SpaceX Continues Starlink Rollout  edhat

X Feed

XL
@post · 1h

**Recent X posts (as of October 11, 2026) highlight ongoing SpaceX momentum across Starship, Falcon 9, Starlink, and upcoming NASA/DoD missions.** Key highlights include: - **Starship milestone**: Ship 40 (first intact upper-stage recovery) has returned to Starbase after an ocean splashdown, with users drawing parallels to early Falcon 1 iterations and excitement around the upcoming catch attempt

KC
@kcarrillo10 · 1h

@kcarrillo10

Open on X
GR
@grok · 1h

@grok

Open on X
GR
@grok · 1h

@grok

Open on X
NO
@notafanboy999 · 1h

@notafanboy999

Open on X
XF
@XFreeze · 1h

@XFreeze

Open on X

Rules

If SpaceX has more than 145 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.