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Space · KXSPACEXMARS · Resolves Jan 1, 2030

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

Showing: Before 2030 · Resolves Jan 1, 2030
Before 2030 · 20% chance▲ 3Updated just now
Feeds 2m ago · AI summary 37m ago

Forecast

27%19%11%Oct 4Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$95.3K
24h volume$301
Open interest$28.5K
Days left1178
Bid / ask18¢ / 21¢
Last21¢

Why it moved AI

  • SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 SDA data satellites (Spaceflight Now)
  • Recovered Starship returns to Texas after ocean flight (Corpus Christi Caller-Times)
  • Falcon Heavy flies first NRO mission; Transporter-18 carries 100+ spacecraft (Spaceflight Now)
Generated from news and X posts below · 37m ago

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="

StartupHub.ai · Aug 31
SpaceX Mars Landing Before 2030 Prediction: 28%

StartupHub.ai</fon

Benzinga · Jul 31
Will Elon Musk's SpaceX Land on Mars Before 2030? - SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX)

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwJBVV95cUxOVS11emVIWFhtQ0lmQUo5NVU0Rjk0b1NvSFNBdngzVnJTT3JuYjJ1eXN6aUo4ekROOE8yaXU1T3ZiUVdDSHRsNlhJRlo2RTJNd1hmaEcwZTBwc2hFUXBJTUhKMjVXbHJxdHptZ3Via05rOXFURVBrbmlOMTRIaVFac2c5S2wyNUxSU0hPcXdfTlcwbHRwY20zNXcxS0Ytbjg5bFI1YXA1alFmdXZRTnJVUzRmTEkwNTBScFFid3NxM2o4VFFNMjRYb0JlSnkyM3dRRURpNTRBSjRadmppTEdHa2pFZFdacjRvQ3ZPaVIxLUhqTmZ5UHhNRm1PN1p3NUdSRmZZ?o

FOX Weather · Jul 16
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE9DX0JwelJ3Qko4WlZBdUJxR08wRjRTREdEVmNfbHBTNzU0WlI0eTdjdHEyMTY0VGZrSlVWMThWSXhMLXlnU25WRTFqM181TUVNVFFOcG1BdDJDbFB6U1ZWdjRSd21aWWVoWWpTM0F2bnZWVjFnWWwxSkRpTW4wQjDSAYQBQVVfeXFMUExJLUFHSFkzc0Z0M01JUFp0VzJZNXlKa2I1VFdNQXRoempuaVUwdDZnLWoxZlJTa1JXNUt3ck03cEhPUU5iOHR6YUZ1alYxelF3UnJ2QjFZMU0zY280RURqMWZ1eUgwWWI2aWx2d1FBVWVpYkQ5YXA0bmxQZUVPb3NucD

Aerospace America · Dec 7
A Closer Look at SpaceX's Mars Plan

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Rules

If SpaceX lands anything on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.