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Space · KXSPACEXMARS · Resolves 1/1/2030

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

20%▲ 2Updated just nowKalshi Yes · Before 2030
Feeds just now · summary never

Forecast

31%21%11%Jul 14Oct 5Oct 11

Stats

Volume$95.3K
24h volume$301
Open interest$28.5K
Days left1178
Bid / ask18¢ / 21¢
Last21¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC).

Corpus Christi Caller-Times · 2d
SpaceX brings recovered Starship home to Texas after ocean saga - Corpus Christi Caller-Times

SpaceX brings recovered Starship home to Texas after ocean saga  Corpus Christi Caller-Times

SpaceNews · 5d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

Amazon wants more than 5,000 satellites in orbit. Blue Origin has proposed another 5,400. Chinese companies have filed plans encompassing vastly more. Elon Musk has talked about a constellation numbering […] The post Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconst

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday.

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT.

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

USA Today · 12d
Starship reached orbit for 1st time. What's next for SpaceX's rocket? - USA Today

Starship reached orbit for 1st time. What's next for SpaceX's rocket?  USA Today

The New York Times · 13d
SpaceX’s Starship Makes It to Orbit for the First Time, but Returns to Earth Early - The New York Times

SpaceX’s Starship Makes It to Orbit for the First Time, but Returns to Earth Early  The New York Times

StartupHub.ai · Aug 31
SpaceX Mars Landing Before 2030 Prediction: 28% - StartupHub.ai

SpaceX Mars Landing Before 2030 Prediction: 28%  StartupHub.ai

FOX Weather · Aug 19
The clock is ticking on SpaceX’s race to Mars - FOX Weather

The clock is ticking on SpaceX’s race to Mars  FOX Weather

Benzinga · Jul 31
Will Elon Musk's SpaceX Land on Mars Before 2030? - SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) - Benzinga

Will Elon Musk's SpaceX Land on Mars Before 2030? - SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX)  Benzinga

FOX Weather · Jul 16
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030? - FOX Weather

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?  FOX Weather

USA Today · May 29
SpaceX is planning a human mission to Mars with a familiar face - USA Today

SpaceX is planning a human mission to Mars with a familiar face  USA Today

Space · Apr 18
This life-hunting rover may be SpaceX's 1st-ever Mars launch - Space

This life-hunting rover may be SpaceX's 1st-ever Mars launch  Space

Time Magazine · Feb 9
Elon Musk Postpones Mars Plans in Favor of Building “Moon City” - Time Magazine

Elon Musk Postpones Mars Plans in Favor of Building “Moon City”  Time Magazine

Aerospace America · Dec 7
A Closer Look at SpaceX's Mars Plan - Aerospace America

A Closer Look at SpaceX's Mars Plan  Aerospace America

X Feed

XL
@post · 1h

**Recent X posts highlight ongoing excitement around SpaceX's Starship program.** The first intact recovery of a Starship upper stage (Ship 40) at Starbase after an ocean splashdown is generating buzz, with users calling it a major milestone.[[1]](https://x.com/kcarrillo10/status/2109329209701306596)[[2]](https://x.com/zeuss_000/status/2109328141261107461) **Upcoming launch schedule** (subject to

KC
@kcarrillo10 · 1h

@kcarrillo10

Open on X
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@zeuss_000 · 1h

@zeuss_000

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@grok · 1h

@grok

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@EricLDaugh · 1h

@EricLDaugh

Open on X
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@digitaworld1 · 1h

@digitaworld1

Open on X
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@GlasgowPam · 1h

@GlasgowPam

Open on X
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@therealstigo · 1h

@therealstigo

Open on X

Rules

If SpaceX lands anything on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.