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Space · KXSTARSHIPFL · Resolves Oct 8, 2026

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Showing: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Resolves Oct 8, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026 · 50% chance▲ 49Updated just now
Feeds just now · No AI summary yet

Forecast

57%29%0%
Jul 14Aug 22Oct 1

Stats

Volume$48.5K
24h volume$0
Open interest$26.3K
Days left0
Bid / ask0¢ / 100¢
Last1¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Before 202736%▲ 1Yes 36¢ No 64¢
Before Oct 1, 202650%▲ 49Yes 50¢ No 50¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

Spaceflight Now · 2d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/09/spacex-to-make-another-attempt-to-launch-21-data-satellites-for-space-development-agency/" ti

Florida Today · 3d
SpaceX Starship facilities at Cape Canaveral could get natural gas pipeline

SpaceX Starship facilities at Ca

FOX 35 Orlando · 6d
FAA seeking input on SpaceX Starship Florida launch plans

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxNc000QlV3RGtZajRuNi0xcHpCdS1MQ2ZIM21sZkdxcHVQZ2pLdVY5ZGN1aUVpTDc3a1AwcGJqeVF0VXd2Tl9CckVzaHpwa3d6cWJKN1hpc2xYTENYTVRRSzlzdW00UGhpd1BkV01wVXdJRTM1ZVlNb1I4anlpUS0ycThBRkpwMHkyUGtkWk1kQkd3d2VXZU03T9IBngFBVV95cUxNVVRseGlNd0ZtUEYzV01GdWY4VXVtaTBKNFBmV1RJSGV6OXVJVWtlRldBQWpXNjlKU2c5OVNFMUNVQnFadDZqT1FZTkY2MUYtbm1BcFpyTHpZWTJGRl9IdGJkM3NjSmdfam

SpaceNews · 6d
Resource competition intensifies with surge in megaconstellations

<img width="1024" height="623" src="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?fit=1024%2C623&ssl=1" class="attachment-rss-image-size size-rss-image-size wp-post-image" alt="SpaceX Starlnk" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/spacenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/spacex-odc.jpeg?w=2500&ssl=1 2500w, https://i0.wp.com/

BASENOR - Tesla Accessories · 6d
Starship Ship 43 Preps for Flight 16 Launch from Florida

BASENOR - Tesla Accessories</f

Spaceflight Now · 7d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/04/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-21-data-transport-satellites-for-the-space-development-agency/" title="SpaceX s

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT. <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/fresh-crew-takes-off-for-six-month-stay-aboard-space-station/" title=

Spaceflight Now · 10d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC). <a class="mh-excerpt-more" href="https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/10/01/live-coverage-ai-datacenter-prototypes-energy-redirection-demonstrators-and-more-launching-on-spacexs-transporter-18/" title="

X Feed

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Rules

If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.