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Space · KXSTARSHIPSPACE · Resolves 1/1/2027

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

51%▼ 27Updated 21 min agoKalshi Yes · Above 4
Feeds 13h · summary never

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$7.2K
24h volume$14
Open interest$2.2K
Days left82
Bid / ask47¢ / 54¢
Last46¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Above 394%▲ 3Yes 94¢ No 6¢
Above 451%▼ 27Yes 51¢ No 49¢
Above 85%▲ 1Yes 5¢ No 95¢
Above 56%▲ 3Yes 6¢ No 94¢
Above 122%▼ 1Yes 2¢ No 98¢
Above 64%▲ 1Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 113%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 74%▲ 2Yes 4¢ No 96¢
Above 93%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢
Above 103%▲ 1Yes 3¢ No 97¢

Why it moved AI

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Generated from news and X posts below

News

Space Development Agency (SDA) (.mil) · 1d
PAE for Missile Warning and Tracking and Space Development Agency Successfully Deliver Fourth Orbital Plane of Tranche 1 Satellites to Orbit – Space Development Agency - Space Development Agency (SDA) (.mil)

PAE for Missile Warning and Tracking and Space Development Agency Successfully Deliver Fourth Orbital Plane of Tranche 1 Satellites to Orbit – Space Development Agency  Space Development Agency (SDA) (.mil)

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency - Spaceflight Now

SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency  Spaceflight Now

Spaceflight Now · 1d
SpaceX launches 21 data satellites for the Space Development Agency

Liftoff of the Falcon 9 rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California carrying satellites for the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation came at 12:39 a.m. PDT (3:39 EDT / 0739 UTC).

Ars Technica · 1d
NASA issues long-awaited call to industry for private space stations - Ars Technica

NASA issues long-awaited call to industry for private space stations  Ars Technica

NASA (.gov) · 1d
NASA Seeks US Industry Plans for Commercial Space Stations - NASA (.gov)

NASA Seeks US Industry Plans for Commercial Space Stations  NASA (.gov)

NASA · 1d
NASA Seeks US Industry Plans for Commercial Space Stations

NASA is advancing American leadership in space by taking the next step toward a future where commercial space stations lead the way in low Earth orbit. On Friday, the agency released its final Request for Proposals inviting industry to submit plans for the next generation of comm

NASA · 2d
NASA Demonstrates Next-Generation Heat Shield Technologies

NASA is testing heat shields that can keep astronauts safe as they return from missions to the Moon and Mars in an unusual way: by taking out the trash. When Northrop Grumman 24th cargo resupply mission for NASA undocked from the International Space Station, it carried a fleet of

NASA · 2d
Cosmic House of Mirrors

Galaxies warp and multiply as if in a house of mirrors in this image from NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope released on Sept. 29, 2026. The brilliant golden galaxies seen here are part of a galaxy cluster called MACS J0454.1-0300. The orange galaxies bunched together on one

NPR · 3d
4 people on NASA's Crew-12 mission return to Earth after 8 months in space - NPR

4 people on NASA's Crew-12 mission return to Earth after 8 months in space  NPR

SpaceNews · 3d
What will it take to build a moon base?

In this episode, a panel of industry experts discuss what’s needed to build a moon base. During a live event at the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg Center, leaders Astrolab, Firefly […] The post What will it take to build a moon base? appeared first on SpaceNews.

SpaceNews · 4d
Announcing the finalists for the 2026 SpaceNews Icon Awards

Meet the 43 leaders and accomplishments that exemplified excellence across the industry over the last 12 months The post Announcing the finalists for the 2026 SpaceNews Icon Awards appeared first on SpaceNews.

Department of Transportation (.gov) · 4d
Trump’s Transportation Secretary Sean P. Duffy Announces Five Actions to Accelerate Commercial Space Licensing - Department of Transportation (.gov)

Trump’s Transportation Secretary Sean P. Duffy Announces Five Actions to Accelerate Commercial Space Licensing  Department of Transportation (.gov)

SpaceNews · 6d
Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corporate Development to Support Continued Growth

DURANGO, Colo., Oct. 5, 2026 — Agile Space Industries today announced that Jonathan Baliff has joined its Board of Directors, bringing extensive experience in aerospace, finance, and corporate leadership. His […] The post Agile Space Industries Strengthens Board and Corpor

Spaceflight Now · 6d
SpaceX scrubs launch attempt for 21 data transport satellites for the Space Development Agency

The Tranche 1 Transporter Layer A mission is the fourth flight supporting the Space Development Agency’s Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture constellation. The next launch attempt could come as soon as Saturday.

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Falcon Heavy flies its first mission for U.S. spy satellite agency

The 14th Falcon Heavy rocket is scheduled to blast off on a clandestine mission from Launch Complex 39A at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center at 11:54 p.m. EDT (0354 UTC).

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Fresh crew takes off for six-month stay aboard space station

Strapped into a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule, Crew 13 commander Jessica Watkins, pilot Luke Delaney, Russian cosmonaut Sergey Teteryatnikov and Canadian astronaut Joshua Kutryk blasted off from pad 40 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 11:10 a.m. EDT.

Spaceflight Now · 9d
Launch preview: More than 100 spacecraft hitch a ride to orbit on SpaceX’s Transporter-18

The mission carried 130 payloads onboard the Falcon 9 rocket heading to a Sun-synchronous orbit. Liftoff from pad 4E at Vandenberg Space Force Base happened at 11:32 a.m. PDT (2:32 p.m. EDT / 1832 UTC).

Astronomy.com · 11d
Starship reaches orbit on 14th test flight - Astronomy.com

Starship reaches orbit on 14th test flight  Astronomy.com

Space · 12d
Starship just reached orbit for the 1st time. What's next for the SpaceX megarocket? - Space

Starship just reached orbit for the 1st time. What's next for the SpaceX megarocket?  Space

EarthSky · 12d
Starship reaches Earth orbit for 1st time - EarthSky

Starship reaches Earth orbit for 1st time  EarthSky

X Feed

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Rules

If above 4 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.