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US Senate · SENATEAK · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Alaska Senate?

Showing: Democratic party · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Democratic party · 74% chance0Updated 44 min ago
Feeds 44m ago · AI summary 4h ago

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$1.1M
24h volume$623
Open interest$593.9K
Days left388
Bid / ask73¢ / 74¢
Last74¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Democratic party74%0Yes 74¢ No 26¢
Republican party27%0Yes 27¢ No 73¢

Why it moved AI

  • ABC News: Candidates vie for final 2 spots in Alaska Senate race after primaries
  • Silver Bulletin: FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast released
  • Politico: Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz, fundraising for Nixon in Florida
Generated from news and X posts below · 4h ago

News

The Hill · 4h
Top Senate Republican calls Guilfoyle reports ‘very troubling’

Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), the Senate Majority Whip, on Sunday expressed concern about the recent reporting on U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle and her finances. “Well, what we've seen in the reports is very troubling. It's concerning. And I'm sure there's going to be an investigation. I would assume the State Department would be...

The Hill · 8h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 10h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 15h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 16h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

The Hill · 1d
Democrats explode over Trump's Russia diesel deal

Democratic lawmakers pushed back Friday on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian oil amid global fuel shortages during U.S. military operations against Iran and the Russia-Ukraine war. The deal will permit Russian President Vladimir Putin’s government to supply 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and the global marketplace. “I have just concluded...

Politico · 2d
Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz, fundraising for Nixon in Florida

The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

X Feed

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Rules

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.