| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson | 58% | ▲ 2 | Yes 58¢ No 42¢ |
| Josh Turek | 43% | ▼ 1 | Yes 43¢ No 57¢ |
Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...
The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...
The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.
Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needed a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said on Friday he supported the president’s decision but he doesn’t “support his decision to import it from Putin. Vladimir Putin is a butcher. He's a...
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It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
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Fact-checking Ashley Hinson and Josh Turek in first Iowa US Senat
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GOP Rep. Ashley Hinso
Democrat Josh Turek leads
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Find our full forecast and polling averages on Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Iowa Senate 🟦 Josh Turek: 51% 🟥 Ashley Hinson: 49% Democrat Josh Turek is now favored to win and leads by 2.3 points in the DDHQ polling average. Democrats need to flip four seats to win a majority.
Open on XDecision Desk HQ Forecast (10/5): 🟦 Democrat Sherrod Brown: 51% 🟥 Republican Jon Husted: 49% Ohio is a coin flip, but Democrats are favored slightly. Democrats need to flip four seats for a Senate majority, and races this close are where that math gets settled.
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Generic Ballot 🟦Democrats: 48.8% 🟥Republicans: 40.9% With a lead of nearly 8 points, Democrats have a strong advantage in our polling average. Both the margin and the Democratic share are among the highest of the cycle.
Open on XIn the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.
Open on XIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.