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US Senate · SENATEME · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Maine Senate?

Showing: Susan Collins · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Susan Collins · 44% chance▲ 1Updated 1 min ago
Feeds 8m ago · AI summary 44m ago

Forecast

48%44%39%Oct 10Oct 11Oct 11

Stats

Volume$4.3M
24h volume$34.8K
Open interest$2.2M
Days left388
Bid / ask43¢ / 44¢
Last44¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Troy Jackson58%0Yes 58¢ No 42¢
Susan Collins44%▲ 1Yes 44¢ No 56¢

Why it moved AI

  • The Hill: Jackson holds slight lead over Collins in Maine Senate race survey
  • DDHQ Senate Forecast: Democrats 56%, Republicans 44%
  • Cook Political Report shifts three Senate races toward Democrats
Generated from news and X posts below · 44m ago

News

The Hill · 4h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswam

The Hill · 5h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 18h
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

Politico · 1d
Trump boosts a New York ally in a tough race

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.

The Hill · 2d
Jackson holds slight lead over Collins in Maine Senate race survey

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifkFVX3lxTE1xa2pid3FVTTNSQnJQWWxUd3NqWmxBRDgtaHUydEdvVHFza0k5T05hY1RSLXYwRjl6ZjVXVGsxa1pvdnpBSklIdWZ0LWlkTXJrdHRtZmNnT285cHVsbzhJeElJbFpUU1NWYXVZMExFMXExcFlUUnZHRVFCZkpXQdIBgwFBVV95cUxNajdkcU9ZZzJtSmVJYU5RdEd0QXdMem1KZ0JvQkVLdmNfSlZfVTRwcHdkenlmTnNxT0xFYXBncWRLbk5iNlR2R05tWnNoQzR3dUdvNTNZM2JlU0VMWW5STGNZdDZoN1JUZjNHcEZrQUVSb1NpWFcwU2tHOFdZemRrcEI1Yw

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

The Washington Post · 2d
Democrat has edge over Susan Collins in critical Maine Senate battle, poll finds

Democrat has edge over Susan Collins in critical Maine Senate ba

X Feed

DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

DDHQ Senate Forecast Update (10/9) 🟦Democrats - 56% 🟥Republicans - 44% Democrats are favored to flip the Senate, with a projected seat count of 51. The forecast has them leading in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas.

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DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

DDHQ POLLING AVERAGE UPDATE Our polling average for Maine's gubernatorial race is live! Democrat Hannah Pingree leads Republican Bobby Charles by nearly a 12-point margin. The DDHQ Forecast rates this as Likely Democratic.

Open on X
CO
@CookPolitical · 5d

Today, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races, all towards Democrats. • Kansas from Lean R -> Toss Up • North Carolina from Lean D -> Likely D • New Hampshire from Toss Up -> Lean D Read @JessicaTaylor's full analysis: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two

Open on X
DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 13d

In the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.

Open on X

Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.