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US Senate · SENATEMI · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Michigan Senate?

Showing: Mike Rogers · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Mike Rogers · 34% chance▲ 1Updated 6 min ago
Feeds 5m ago · No AI summary yet

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$3.7M
24h volume$91.1K
Open interest$2.5M
Days left388
Bid / ask33¢ / 34¢
Last34¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Abdul El-Sayed68%▲ 1Yes 68¢ No 32¢
Mike Rogers34%▲ 1Yes 34¢ No 66¢

Why it moved AI

No AI brief yet. Odds, news, and rules still load. If xAI is out of credits, the error is stored under Admin → Jobs and calls back off for 15 minutes.

Generated from news and X posts below

News

The Hill · 3h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswam

The Hill · 4h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Rel

Politico · 17h
Trump announces Katie Bailey as new chief of White House-Hill relations

The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.

The Hill · 20h
GOP lawmakers reject US-Russia diesel deal, Trump's Zelensky comments

Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needed a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said on Friday he supported the president’s decision but he doesn’t “suppo

Politico · 1d
Trump boosts a New York ally in a tough race

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.

Politico · 1d
Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz, fundraising for Nixon in Florida

The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

Politico · 2d
House Democratic campaign arm says it needs $17 million, and fast

It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.

X Feed

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.