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US Senate · SENATEMI · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Michigan Senate?

Showing: Abdul El-Sayed · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Abdul El-Sayed · 68% chance▲ 1Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 25m ago · AI summary 1h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
77%68%59%Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$2.6M
24h volume$38.0K
Open interest$1.6M
Days left388
Bid / ask67¢ / 68¢
Last68¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Abdul El-Sayed68%▲ 1Yes 68¢ No 32¢
Mike Rogers33%▼ 1Yes 33¢ No 67¢

Why it moved AI

  • El-Sayed and Rogers clash in first debate with personal attacks (NYT, NBC)
  • El-Sayed campaign event disrupted by agitators in west Michigan (MLive)
  • Questions over El-Sayed's support among Black voters (Guardian)
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

The Guardian · 8h
Why Abdul El-Sayed might not be winning Black voters in Michigan

The Guardian</

Yahoo · 9h
Republicans want Abdul El-Sayed to be the main character of the midterms. He's happy to oblige

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MLive.com · 21h
Abdul El-Sayed campaign event disrupted by agitators in west Michigan
Fox News · 1d
Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed jokes that Michigan football can't win without cheating

Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed jokes that Michi

The Washington Post · 1d
Ocasio-Cortez will stump for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan’s Senate race

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New York Post · 1d
Abdul El-Sayed under fire from Jewish Dems after refusing to call Israel a US ally during Michigan debate

Abdul El-Sayed under fire from Jewish Dems after refusing to call Israe

PBS · 2d
In combative first Michigan Senate debate, Rogers and El-Sayed trade attacks

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxQcmZNb2F5RnphRjNiUFo3Ulh0NGs3YmZFRGhyam9SMF9Wc3RNNFBQeGdVZ2tLMmJlSHJiZHpydXJpX2N5YlRKa1dKOGVZUkRLcDlFaHRFcHZCeFJ6c3pIdWV3NDlKSTd5RmhTNjhrUjZhWnNRZk82SzM2M1NrVEdVWDU1N0hMUHBNaHJjMTlCMS01WmFPeTg0aFgtZzdmeWVzZmJyNXpzX3FNSHFyNkU4bmtkc9IBuAFBVV95cUxNM3dVel9sb0tSXzB2ejlETmliSjVrMV9zdWZra3otLWx2aV82M1pIV1d6MnRpUWNIaXFCbmt5eXdNbjZwZTItajVMZU43OX

The Washington Post · 2d
Takeaways from Michigan Senate debate between Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers
The New York Times · 2d
5 Key Moments From a Hostile Michigan Debate: ‘You Going After My Mom?’

The

NBC News · 2d
Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Michigan Senate debate

Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Mi

USA Today · 2d
First debate with Mike Rogers will be a key test for Abdul El-Sayed

First debate with Mike Rogers will be a key

CNN · 4d
Abdul El-Sayed is certain he’ll win Michigan’s Senate race. Some key Democrats quietly aren’t so sure

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X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.