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US Senate · SENATEMI · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Michigan Senate?

Showing: Abdul El-Sayed · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Abdul El-Sayed · 67% chance0Updated 2 min ago
Feeds 46m ago · AI summary 3h ago

Forecast

72%68%64%
Oct 11

Stats

Volume$2.6M
24h volume$41.1K
Open interest$1.6M
Days left388
Bid / ask66¢ / 68¢
Last68¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Abdul El-Sayed67%0Yes 67¢ No 33¢
Mike Rogers33%0Yes 33¢ No 67¢

Why it moved AI

  • El-Sayed and Rogers clash in first debate with personal attacks (NYT, NBC)
  • El-Sayed campaign event disrupted by agitators in west Michigan (MLive)
  • Questions over El-Sayed's support among Black voters (Guardian)
Generated from news and X posts below · 3h ago

News

Fox News · 1d
Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed jokes that Michigan football can't win without cheating

Democrat Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed jokes that Michi

New York Post · 2d
Abdul El-Sayed under fire from Jewish Dems after refusing to call Israel a US ally during Michigan debate

Abdul El-Sayed under fire from Jewish Dems after refusing to call Israe

PBS · 2d
In combative first Michigan Senate debate, Rogers and El-Sayed trade attacks

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxQcmZNb2F5RnphRjNiUFo3Ulh0NGs3YmZFRGhyam9SMF9Wc3RNNFBQeGdVZ2tLMmJlSHJiZHpydXJpX2N5YlRKa1dKOGVZUkRLcDlFaHRFcHZCeFJ6c3pIdWV3NDlKSTd5RmhTNjhrUjZhWnNRZk82SzM2M1NrVEdVWDU1N0hMUHBNaHJjMTlCMS01WmFPeTg0aFgtZzdmeWVzZmJyNXpzX3FNSHFyNkU4bmtkc9IBuAFBVV95cUxNM3dVel9sb0tSXzB2ejlETmliSjVrMV9zdWZra3otLWx2aV82M1pIV1d6MnRpUWNIaXFCbmt5eXdNbjZwZTItajVMZU43OX

NBC News · 2d
Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Michigan Senate debate

Sparks fly as Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers face off in first Mi

USA Today · 3d
First debate with Mike Rogers will be a key test for Abdul El-Sayed

First debate with Mike Rogers will be a key

France 24 · 7d
Ossoff and El-Sayed: Two Senate races and what they say about the Democratic Party

Ossoff and El-Sayed: Two Senate races and what they say abou

X Feed

No X posts yet. Live search retries after the 15-minute backoff if xAI just failed (credits included).

Rules

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.