| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | 68% | ▲ 1 | Yes 68¢ No 32¢ |
| Mike Rogers | 33% | ▼ 2 | Yes 33¢ No 67¢ |
The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswam
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Rel
The longtime Republican Hill staffer takes up the role after James Braid’s departure.
Several Republicans voiced objections to the Trump administration Russian diesel deal and President Trump's suggestion that Ukraine needed a new leader. When asked about the deal, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said on Friday he supported the president’s decision but he doesn’t “suppo
GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman hasn’t hesitated to tie himself to the president.
The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.
It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.
It’s the first time Democrats’ House campaign arm has put a dollar figure on its needs, as Republicans maintain a large cash advantage.
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Rogers, El-Sayed debate gets hos
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Find our full forecast and polling averages on Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate
Open on XDDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Ohio Senate 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 52% 🟥 Jon Husted: 48% Brown also leads by 2.6 points in the DDHQ polling average. Democrats need to flip four seats to win Senate control.
Open on XIn the Michigan Senate race, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holds a nearly 4-point lead in our polling average. In the DDHQ Forecast, El-Sayed remains the favorite with a 71% win probability. If Democrats hold Michigan, they have a 68% chance of winning a majority in the Senate.
Open on XDecision Desk HQ Forecast (10/5): 🟦 Democrat Sherrod Brown: 51% 🟥 Republican Jon Husted: 49% Ohio is a coin flip, but Democrats are favored slightly. Democrats need to flip four seats for a Senate majority, and races this close are where that math gets settled.
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Generic Ballot 🟦Democrats: 48.8% 🟥Republicans: 40.9% With a lead of nearly 8 points, Democrats have a strong advantage in our polling average. Both the margin and the Democratic share are among the highest of the cycle.
Open on XDDHQ POLLING UPDATE: North Carolina Senate 🟦 Roy Cooper: 49.6% 🟥 Michael Whatley: 40.5% No Republican has lost a Senate race in North Carolina since 2008. This race is seen as a must-win for Democrats. The DDHQ Forecast rates #NCSen as Likely Democratic.
Open on XIn the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.
Open on XThe Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up five to 15 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 220 to 230 seats in 2027.
Open on XThe Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up five to 15 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 220 to 230 seats in 2027.
Open on XIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.