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US Senate · SENATENC · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the North Carolina Senate?

Showing: Michael Whatley · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Michael Whatley · 5% chance▲ 1Updated 7 min ago
Feeds 1h ago · AI summary 3h ago
Trade on Kalshi
OverviewNewsX FeedAI SummaryRulesRelated Markets

Forecast

6H1D1W1MALL
11%6%1%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.6M
24h volume$122.9K
Open interest$1.4M
Days left388
Bid / ask5¢ / 5¢
Last5¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Roy Cooper96%0Yes 96¢ No 4¢
Michael Whatley5%▲ 1Yes 5¢ No 95¢

Why it moved AI

  • GOP super PACs cancel NC spending and shift funds to Kansas (NBC, Politico)
  • Whatley campaign pauses TV ads while trailing in polls (WRAL, Raleigh N&O)
  • Cook Political Report shifts NC Senate from Lean D to Likely D (DDHQ)
  • DDHQ poll shows Cooper 49.6% to Whatley 40.5% (DDHQ)
Generated from news and X posts below · 3h ago

News

The Hill · 2h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The New York Times · 2d
North Carolina U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
WRAL · 3d
‘We have the resources’: Whatley campaign retreats from airwaves while trailing in US Senate polls

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Raleigh News & Observer · 4d
NC’s Michael Whatley pauses TV ads for Senate election as campaign rethinks strategy

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxPRzY1bWtJd3FkeHNvY0VmUTRHTW5YeXdjNm84RTNuY0xabDhzU1F0X0ZYbGVLa2RhU05QZ0s5VHpKeFd3QmwyU21Ya1drVE1FMHl0cGg3dkJRUzdmcnNnZFFKX0t4TGd0VlZuVnVCeGk0WGU1TU1MaFhmVl9xbHV2cWs2ejFma01uMjJta9IBjAFBVV95cUxPQTRuUVB1UkpET18taUEyQ1NCYnBfY1lKS0FhYW5oLU40MlJKZUs4dG1lMm1NYnUxTjVOeDFSbXBqaXdMb2NZYy1CcTl0MVdjWG02Q3FUWVZMcDk4TmNzenF5NkNHRGRhbUNPZ3dneW0wQjJwaH

Politico · 9d
Top GOP groups retreat from North Carolina Senate race as hopes fade

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The Guardian · 9d
Republicans pull funding of Trump-backed Senate candidate in critical North Carolina race

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NBC News · 9d
GOP super PAC cancels spending in North Carolina Senate race, shifting money to Kansas

GOP super PAC cancels spending in North Carolina Senate race

The Hill · Aug 21
North Carolina Senate race between Cooper, Whatley tightens: Poll

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxQWWhPVEs1WUFmZTgyOTVuRkplVENXcDNPYVdTWGJIRklwLWJlRmttd2xaUHVkRWZhVDFXNzN0ZXUtOHZpeDB1aVBMa1kxYURmLVFZOHdtRzlidHdKWlhpZWNITGVBQlcwYUFMOFYwbmVHNlowV3lHRDVnLWJ2bTdFLVNGRdIBiAFBVV95cUxNOFM1ZTVERGZSa2FkMVVrSWdNdkdkRU9ZWkpqNGVHdlJ6V1JNX25MM3Z0MHBMa01FV1NVVUtwUWMwLTFxRXg5Tkl0OHcxZzRJWllZeXZIRjlhbVU3Mk9JMXZoZkhfSWlhTmpPZGliNUFvdkZxdjNRbkZReFhEQl

X Feed

DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 2d

Find our full forecast and polling averages on Votes: https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/2026/senate

Open on X
DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 4d

DDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Ohio Senate 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 52% 🟥 Jon Husted: 48% Brown also leads by 2.6 points in the DDHQ polling average. Democrats need to flip four seats to win Senate control.

Open on X
DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 5d

Today, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races, all towards Democrats. • Kansas from Lean R -> Toss Up • North Carolina from Lean D -> Likely D • New Hampshire from Toss Up -> Lean D Read @JessicaTaylor's full analysis: https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-overview/senate-majority-squarely-democrats-sights-kansas-moves-toss-two

Open on X
DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 11d

DDHQ POLLING UPDATE: North Carolina Senate 🟦 Roy Cooper: 49.6% 🟥 Michael Whatley: 40.5% No Republican has lost a Senate race in North Carolina since 2008. This race is seen as a must-win for Democrats. The DDHQ Forecast rates #NCSen as Likely Democratic.

Open on X
DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 13d

In the DDHQ Forecast, Democrats are favored to flip five seats, enough to secure a Senate majority. They have a 54% chance of winning control of the Senate. Democrats are favored in Toss Up races in Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. North Carolina is a Likely Democratic flip.

Open on X

Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.