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US Senate · SENATENE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Nebraska Senate?

Showing: Dan Osborn · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Dan Osborn · 28% chance▲ 1Updated 6 min ago
Feeds 2m ago · AI summary 1h ago

Forecast

34%29%24%
Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11

Stats

Volume$888.4K
24h volume$2.6K
Open interest$437.7K
Days left388
Bid / ask27¢ / 28¢
Last27¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Pete Ricketts73%▲ 1Yes 73¢ No 27¢
Dan Osborn28%▲ 1Yes 28¢ No 72¢
Cindy Burbank1%▲ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • NYT: Latest polls on Nebraska U.S. Senate Election
  • SMART Union: Dan Osborn meets with Omaha sheet metal workers
Generated from news and X posts below · 1h ago

News

The Hill · 2h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 4h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 9h
Trump, Vance blitz Ohio as Democrats look to flip governor's mansion

The red-leaning Buckeye State governor’s mansion could flip for the first time in two decades as Democrat Amy Acton narrowly leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy in recent polls of their bitter midterm battle. A new CNN poll Thursday showed Acton up 8 percentage points over Ramaswamy, after a New York Times/Siena poll found Acton ahead by...

The Hill · 11h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Chris Murphy plans midterm travel blitz, fundraising for Nixon in Florida

The potential 2028er is hitting the campaign trail in five states this month.

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

SMART Union · 5d
Dan Osborn meets with Omaha sheet metal workers

Dan Osborn meets wit

C-SPAN · 5d
U.S. Senate Candidate Dan Osborn (I-NE) Endorsed by Military & National Security Leaders

U.S. Senate Candidate Dan Osborn (I-NE) Endorsed by

KOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE · 6d
10/11's Madison Pitch speaks with Independent Candidate Dan Osborn ahead of president's arrival

10/11's Madison Pitch speaks with Independent Candida

The Washington Post · 10d
Nebraska’s Dan Osborn responds to audio commenting on Trump supporters

Nebraska’s Dan Osborn responds to audio commenting on Trump supporter

X Feed

PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Senate Majority PAC (D) announces it’s starting to play in Kansas It’ll launch a $5 million TV campaign, from tomorrow through Election Day “The gap is closing in Kansas, and we are committed to ensuring families understand” Marshall’s record, an SMP spox says #KSSEN

Open on X
SH
@ShaneGoldmacher · 2d

Senate Majority PAC newly going into KANSAS with $5 million via @baylisswagner https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/us/politics/adam-hamilton-roger-marshall-kansas-senate.html

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 2d

Scoop: Ken Paxton privately complained John Cornyn “wants me to lose,” as their years-long feud boils over in a high-stakes Senate race The latest leak from a Paxton fundraiser last month: https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/politics/ken-paxton-audio-john-cornyn #TXSEN

Open on X
PA
@PatrickSvitek · 3d

Talarico’s 12-day absence from trail becomes fodder for GOP in Texas Senate race, via @ArletteSaenz https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/08/politics/james-talarico-campaign-trail-paxton-texas #TXSEN

Open on X
DA
@daveweigel · 3d

Progressives want Chris Van Hollen but all I’m saying is, if Dems win the senate they’ll be too busy crying tears of joy about Schumer recruiting Peltola to want a real leadership fight

Open on X
HE
@HenryJGomez · 3d

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer will campaign with Abdul El-Sayed today ahead of his #MISen debate with Mike Rogers. Whitmer, who beat El-Sayed in the 2018 primary for governor, endorsed Stevens in this year’s Senate primary.

Open on X

Rules

If Dan Osborn (as an independent) is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.