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US Senate · SENATENE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Nebraska Senate?

Showing: Pete Ricketts · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Pete Ricketts · 73% chance▼ 1Updated 7 min ago
Feeds 2h ago · AI summary 3h ago

Forecast

76%71%66%
Sep 12Oct 7Oct 11

Stats

Volume$1.5M
24h volume$1.9K
Open interest$896.1K
Days left388
Bid / ask72¢ / 74¢
Last74¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Pete Ricketts73%▼ 1Yes 73¢ No 27¢
Dan Osborn28%0Yes 28¢ No 72¢
Cindy Burbank1%▲ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • RCP shifts Nebraska Senate rating from Lean R to Toss-up (@PollTracker2024, @IAPolls2022)
  • DDHQ polling average shows Ricketts leading Osborn by 0.9 points (@DecisionDeskHQ)
  • Trump campaigns in Nebraska amid GOP focus on Senate race (The Hill)
  • Tough ads on crime and pardons highlight Nebraska Senate contest (NYT)
Generated from news and X posts below · 3h ago

News

The Hill · 8h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

WOWT · 5d
GOP Nebraska Trump rally: Sen. Ricketts references illegal immigrant arrest after fatal Omaha crash

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxQY3l3d1V6U1E5V0JyMnNSaWhST2RvQ2JHdHN4TzdjWC1qTlJ2TnpMQ19oUlQ2Vll2dWsyZ05jNGtQTjBya05MMmhRN3RWcmVfQkNXX0JldmpscjBHbUtib1ZnSG5mSXhSX29LTHNSY1FGcUt1TGdSWDY0eUhQaXhobk11cFlZVmVwZ3BsVjdIRFBKQWRsbUcxakJUSF93elotaGROSTlTVWMwQ3BUdklEOUtGQkMzdFZWM1U3QzJaWGRfdFZaOVpVeXRB0gHeAUFVX3lxTE1Ic2tQMnpvckl2eGVRN2ZzTDlVUHZ1VzVIdmREaHBVb3ZQdkxQTWxmSWpwRlBNQl

PBS · 6d
WATCH: Trump campaigns with Ricketts in Nebraska, signs order on red-dyed diesel

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxPZ2lUblBMUG5DcE1Hb08zeEJVNG4xN0JtdG9xTDliMVVQWWVhV2E2MjN6c01HWjcxRE13OGd1YkU3dnZfOXg5dl9KUEJzMnkyMDJWNUZlckZHWVYwVFBsemV1bVJBaFdna21Bc2hnY0ZJYUo3eVloTXpnUXpfUEl6Z190WVYxb19JNXd6VWJXTlVkd011N3dpamJDaW9UcXFVSDJWamViaGpwMnFmTXlzS0tKRkNjZHZtcEtpcWQzRjc0LW9wQnI4VERIM0ZKU2E2TlHSAdcBQVVfeXFMTWxsNDZxQWY5Wm0ySDEtWkpab1IxbGlfZWJRSHg4cHpDWnVZeWZjOT

The Hill · 7d
Trump takes red state midterm blitz to Nebraska as GOP frets over Senate race

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxQME1jc21MVzQ4STZycFpTWm1xUGlOaGtfTmE0aTRPdXJhUnlIQXl5N3JrazJmOHNuMjFnbWJ1SjhUcjhOa3JwajI5ZG5NV0J3cThkLVhnWlFKX0Q0T0huMzdnamd3bldINHBIRzlwek5sT1FFRTVrUXBqb1VCalBuRHN1SWt3NzdIUkw0eFBDVmNFMnFM0gGaAUFVX3lxTE9XdU1MbGlMRHYwOHY4YnZLVFdKaHVWY0hmR1VFTzY4d3ZyTlJiZllZQmVqdUt5Z29zNGRoRVNoTnRyWEs0TVRmNkNKWW5teDVZQTNBYWlsQ0oxRk84cGRvSU9lUWNXMmFfVG14TD

Nebraska Examiner · 12d
Trump is coming to Nebraska to campaign for Ricketts

Nebraska Examin

X Feed

DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 3d

DDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Nebraska Senate Our Nebraska Senate polling average is live! Republican Pete Ricketts currently leads independent Dan Osborn by 0.9 points. The DDHQ Forecast gives Ricketts an 80% chance of winning.

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BE
@Betwizzardcom · 3d

🇺🇸 Nebraska Senate: Ricketts (R) 71.5% vs Osborn (I) 28.5% on Polymarket · Kalshi 73/27.5 Polls near-even (Ricketts +0.1 to +1.2 avg) vs independent Dan Osborn 👉 https://betwizzard.com/markets/will-the-republicans-win-the-nebraska-senate-race-in-2026-c34628 8:47 PM ET Oct 7 · Market prices, not certainty · NFA · 18+

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NE
@NewsNowUS · 5d

New - Senate poll - Nebraska 🟡 Dan Osborn 48% 🔴 Pete Ricketts (Inc) 47% YouGov (B) - LV - 10/3

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 9d

NEBRASKA POLL By Co/efficient (R) SENATE 🟥 Pete Ricketts (inc): 45% 🟨 Dan Osborn: 40% 🟪 Other: 4% H2H 🟥 Pete Ricketts: 48% 🟨 Dan Osborn: 43% ——— GOVERNOR 🟥 Jim Pillen (inc): 43% 🟦 Lynn Walz: 38% 🟪 Other: 8% R57/D27 | 9/28-30 | 1,113 LV https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/ne/

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PO
@Pooblock_ · 9d

NEBRASKA SEN. Peaceful Public Polling (#A+) 🟡Dan Osborn- 50% 🔴Pete Ricketts-43% 1000 LV|9/25-10/1

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PO
@PollTracker2024 · 12d

Real Clear Politics ratings change US Senate Nebraska Lean R—->Toss-up

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 12d

RCP moves Nebraska Senate towards Independent Dan Osborn NE SEN: 🔴 Lean R ⏩️ 🟡 Toss up

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.