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US Senate · SENATENE · Resolves Nov 3, 2027

Who will win the Nebraska Senate?

Showing: Pete Ricketts · Resolves Nov 3, 2027
Pete Ricketts · 73% chance▼ 1Updated 15 min ago
Feeds 50m ago · AI summary 49m ago

Forecast

Price history will appear after the history job runs.

Stats

Volume$1.5M
24h volume$1.9K
Open interest$896.2K
Days left388
Bid / ask72¢ / 74¢
Last74¢

Outcomes

OutcomeChance24hPrice
Pete Ricketts73%▼ 1Yes 73¢ No 27¢
Dan Osborn28%▲ 1Yes 28¢ No 72¢
Cindy Burbank1%▲ 1Yes 1¢ No 99¢

Why it moved AI

  • DDHQ polling average: Ricketts leads Osborn by 0.9 points (@DecisionDeskHQ)
  • YouGov poll: Osborn 48% to Ricketts 47% (@NewsNowUS)
  • Co/efficient poll: Ricketts 45-48%, Osborn 40-43% (@IAPolls2022)
  • RCP changes Nebraska Senate rating to Toss-up (@PollTracker2024)
Generated from news and X posts below · 49m ago

News

The Hill · 1h
Lawmakers in bipartisan statement push back on Trump over Russian oil

A bipartisan group of seven lawmakers on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee condemned President Trump’s recent deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which would lift sanctions on Russia and permit the flow of its oil into the global economy. “Congress explicitly banned Russian energy imports in 2022 to prevent American dollars from financing Putin’s brutal...

The Hill · 3h
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic

Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign ​shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC...

The Hill · 10h
Murphy takes fight against Iran war to Middle East

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) this past week took his fight against the Iran war to the Middle East, seeking to expose damages caused by the conflict that he has repeatedly accused the Trump administration of trying to cover up. Murphy, who sits on the powerful Senate Foreign Relations and Appropriations committees, traveled to Qatar and...

Politico · 2d
Democrats drop $5M into Kansas Senate race

It comes as the Senate battlefield tilts further into red turf.

WOWT · 5d
GOP Nebraska Trump rally: Sen. Ricketts references illegal immigrant arrest after fatal Omaha crash

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxQY3l3d1V6U1E5V0JyMnNSaWhST2RvQ2JHdHN4TzdjWC1qTlJ2TnpMQ19oUlQ2Vll2dWsyZ05jNGtQTjBya05MMmhRN3RWcmVfQkNXX0JldmpscjBHbUtib1ZnSG5mSXhSX29LTHNSY1FGcUt1TGdSWDY0eUhQaXhobk11cFlZVmVwZ3BsVjdIRFBKQWRsbUcxakJUSF93elotaGROSTlTVWMwQ3BUdklEOUtGQkMzdFZWM1U3QzJaWGRfdFZaOVpVeXRB0gHeAUFVX3lxTE1Ic2tQMnpvckl2eGVRN2ZzTDlVUHZ1VzVIdmREaHBVb3ZQdkxQTWxmSWpwRlBNQl

PBS · 6d
WATCH: Trump campaigns with Ricketts in Nebraska, signs order on red-dyed diesel

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxPZ2lUblBMUG5DcE1Hb08zeEJVNG4xN0JtdG9xTDliMVVQWWVhV2E2MjN6c01HWjcxRE13OGd1YkU3dnZfOXg5dl9KUEJzMnkyMDJWNUZlckZHWVYwVFBsemV1bVJBaFdna21Bc2hnY0ZJYUo3eVloTXpnUXpfUEl6Z190WVYxb19JNXd6VWJXTlVkd011N3dpamJDaW9UcXFVSDJWamViaGpwMnFmTXlzS0tKRkNjZHZtcEtpcWQzRjc0LW9wQnI4VERIM0ZKU2E2TlHSAdcBQVVfeXFMTWxsNDZxQWY5Wm0ySDEtWkpab1IxbGlfZWJRSHg4cHpDWnVZeWZjOT

The Hill · 7d
Trump takes red state midterm blitz to Nebraska as GOP frets over Senate race

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxQME1jc21MVzQ4STZycFpTWm1xUGlOaGtfTmE0aTRPdXJhUnlIQXl5N3JrazJmOHNuMjFnbWJ1SjhUcjhOa3JwajI5ZG5NV0J3cThkLVhnWlFKX0Q0T0huMzdnamd3bldINHBIRzlwek5sT1FFRTVrUXBqb1VCalBuRHN1SWt3NzdIUkw0eFBDVmNFMnFM0gGaAUFVX3lxTE9XdU1MbGlMRHYwOHY4YnZLVFdKaHVWY0hmR1VFTzY4d3ZyTlJiZllZQmVqdUt5Z29zNGRoRVNoTnRyWEs0TVRmNkNKWW5teDVZQTNBYWlsQ0oxRk84cGRvSU9lUWNXMmFfVG14TD

Nebraska Examiner · 12d
Trump is coming to Nebraska to campaign for Ricketts

Nebraska Examin

X Feed

DE
@DecisionDeskHQ · 3d

DDHQ POLLING UPDATE: Nebraska Senate Our Nebraska Senate polling average is live! Republican Pete Ricketts currently leads independent Dan Osborn by 0.9 points. The DDHQ Forecast gives Ricketts an 80% chance of winning.

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BE
@Betwizzardcom · 3d

🇺🇸 Nebraska Senate: Ricketts (R) 71.5% vs Osborn (I) 28.5% on Polymarket · Kalshi 73/27.5 Polls near-even (Ricketts +0.1 to +1.2 avg) vs independent Dan Osborn 👉 https://betwizzard.com/markets/will-the-republicans-win-the-nebraska-senate-race-in-2026-c34628 8:47 PM ET Oct 7 · Market prices, not certainty · NFA · 18+

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NE
@NewsNowUS · 5d

New - Senate poll - Nebraska 🟡 Dan Osborn 48% 🔴 Pete Ricketts (Inc) 47% YouGov (B) - LV - 10/3

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RA
@RalstonReports · 5d

Poll shows: Every statewide R losing except gov Gov's race w/in MOE (plausible) R+3 electorate (plausible) 49% strongly disapprove of Trump (61% overall) Is this model correct? It all comes down to...turnout. ©

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 9d

NEBRASKA POLL By Co/efficient (R) SENATE 🟥 Pete Ricketts (inc): 45% 🟨 Dan Osborn: 40% 🟪 Other: 4% H2H 🟥 Pete Ricketts: 48% 🟨 Dan Osborn: 43% ——— GOVERNOR 🟥 Jim Pillen (inc): 43% 🟦 Lynn Walz: 38% 🟪 Other: 8% R57/D27 | 9/28-30 | 1,113 LV https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/ne/

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PO
@Pooblock_ · 10d

NEBRASKA SEN. Peaceful Public Polling (#A+) 🟡Dan Osborn- 50% 🔴Pete Ricketts-43% 1000 LV|9/25-10/1

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DA
@daveweigel · 12d

Generic ballot trend since the GOP midterm convention: 9/10: D+7.5 9/29: D+9.2 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model

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PO
@PollTracker2024 · 12d

Real Clear Politics ratings change US Senate Nebraska Lean R—->Toss-up

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IA
@IAPolls2022 · 12d

RCP moves Nebraska Senate towards Independent Dan Osborn NE SEN: 🔴 Lean R ⏩️ 🟡 Toss up

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.